Current short-term forecasts from multiple models project overnight minimum temperatures in Jeddah around 28–31°C on September 2, aligning with early-September climatology where Red Sea moderation and high humidity (often 40–60%) limit radiative cooling and keep lows well above 24°C. This supports trader emphasis on 28–31°C brackets while the elevated 48.5% on 24°C or below likely incorporates uncertainty in model spread or rare synoptic cooling not yet evident in official guidance. No significant weather systems or index shifts (such as strengthened Shamal winds) have altered the stable hot pattern in the past week, leaving little near-term catalyst for sharper drops.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日吉达最低气温?
24°C or below 97%
25°C 47%
26°C 47%
27°C 47%
24°C or below
97%
25°C
47%
26°C
47%
27°C
47%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C or higher
2%
24°C or below 97%
25°C 47%
26°C 47%
27°C 47%
24°C or below
97%
25°C
47%
26°C
47%
27°C
47%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current short-term forecasts from multiple models project overnight minimum temperatures in Jeddah around 28–31°C on September 2, aligning with early-September climatology where Red Sea moderation and high humidity (often 40–60%) limit radiative cooling and keep lows well above 24°C. This supports trader emphasis on 28–31°C brackets while the elevated 48.5% on 24°C or below likely incorporates uncertainty in model spread or rare synoptic cooling not yet evident in official guidance. No significant weather systems or index shifts (such as strengthened Shamal winds) have altered the stable hot pattern in the past week, leaving little near-term catalyst for sharper drops.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题