Recent numerical weather model runs and observational data from the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate a stable overnight minimum near 26–27°C for Karachi on August 26, with trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 24–26% probabilities for 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C outcomes. Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow off the Arabian Sea, combined with high humidity levels around 70–85% and partial cloud cover, limits radiative cooling and keeps lows elevated relative to inland areas. Historical August averages of 26–27°C lows provide climatological context, while current conditions show minimal synoptic forcing or precipitation that could alter the thermal profile. Updated model guidance and official PMD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine exact thresholds for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日卡拉奇的最低温度?
21°C或以下 47%
31°C或更高 47%
23°C 46%
24°C 46%
21°C或以下
47%
22°C
15%
23°C
46%
24°C
46%
25°C
46%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
24%
29°C
46%
30°C
19%
31°C或更高
47%
21°C或以下 47%
31°C或更高 47%
23°C 46%
24°C 46%
21°C或以下
47%
22°C
15%
23°C
46%
24°C
46%
25°C
46%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
24%
29°C
46%
30°C
19%
31°C或更高
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather model runs and observational data from the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate a stable overnight minimum near 26–27°C for Karachi on August 26, with trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 24–26% probabilities for 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C outcomes. Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow off the Arabian Sea, combined with high humidity levels around 70–85% and partial cloud cover, limits radiative cooling and keeps lows elevated relative to inland areas. Historical August averages of 26–27°C lows provide climatological context, while current conditions show minimal synoptic forcing or precipitation that could alter the thermal profile. Updated model guidance and official PMD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine exact thresholds for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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