Recent rainfall from a dissipating cyclonic circulation over Madhya Pradesh has left Lucknow with elevated soil moisture and humidity, moderating overnight cooling ahead of September 21. Official IMD forecasts and numerical models project a minimum near 27°C under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies, with light northerly winds limiting advection of cooler air. Clear conditions could enhance radiative cooling toward the lower bins around 26°C or below, while any residual cloud cover or higher dew points would trap heat and support readings near 28–29°C. Model consensus remains tight with limited spread, yet traders assign equal 50% implied probability across bins, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture during the early monsoon withdrawal phase. Updated evening observations and overnight model runs will likely narrow the range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日勒克瑙的最低温度?
22°C或以下 100%
23°C 100%
24°C 100%
25°C 100%
22°C或以下
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C
100%
26°C
100%
27°C
100%
28°C
100%
29°C
100%
30°C
100%
31°C
100%
32°C或更高
100%
22°C或以下 100%
23°C 100%
24°C 100%
25°C 100%
22°C或以下
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C
100%
26°C
100%
27°C
100%
28°C
100%
29°C
100%
30°C
100%
31°C
100%
32°C或更高
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent rainfall from a dissipating cyclonic circulation over Madhya Pradesh has left Lucknow with elevated soil moisture and humidity, moderating overnight cooling ahead of September 21. Official IMD forecasts and numerical models project a minimum near 27°C under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies, with light northerly winds limiting advection of cooler air. Clear conditions could enhance radiative cooling toward the lower bins around 26°C or below, while any residual cloud cover or higher dew points would trap heat and support readings near 28–29°C. Model consensus remains tight with limited spread, yet traders assign equal 50% implied probability across bins, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture during the early monsoon withdrawal phase. Updated evening observations and overnight model runs will likely narrow the range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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