Recent southwest monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over Metro Manila are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, with official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models indicating minimum temperatures for August 26 likely near 26–27 °C amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity. Historical climatology places typical late-August lows at 24–26 °C, but persistent moisture and light southwesterly winds currently support slightly warmer minima while also introducing forecast spread from variable precipitation timing. Multiple global and regional models show close agreement on the daily range yet diverge on exact nocturnal cooling rates, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27 °C. PAGASA’s next regional update and fresh model runs within the next 24 hours will refine the lowest-temperature outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日马尼拉的最低温度？
8月26日马尼拉的最低温度？
25°C 50%
23°C 48%
24°C 48%
28°C 48%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
21°C或以下
47%
22°C
15%
23°C
48%
24°C
48%
25°C
50%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
48%
29°C
48%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
47%
25°C 50%
23°C 48%
24°C 48%
28°C 48%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
47%
22°C
$0 交易量
15%
23°C
$0 交易量
48%
24°C
$0 交易量
48%
25°C
$0 交易量
50%
26°C
$0 交易量
26%
27°C
$0 交易量
26%
28°C
$0 交易量
48%
29°C
$0 交易量
48%
30°C
$0 交易量
2%
31°C或更高
$0 交易量
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent southwest monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over Metro Manila are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, with official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models indicating minimum temperatures for August 26 likely near 26–27 °C amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity. Historical climatology places typical late-August lows at 24–26 °C, but persistent moisture and light southwesterly winds currently support slightly warmer minima while also introducing forecast spread from variable precipitation timing. Multiple global and regional models show close agreement on the daily range yet diverge on exact nocturnal cooling rates, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27 °C. PAGASA’s next regional update and fresh model runs within the next 24 hours will refine the lowest-temperature outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent southwest monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over Metro Manila are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, with official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models indicating minimum temperatures for August 26 likely near 26–27 °C amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity. Historical climatology places typical late-August lows at 24–26 °C, but persistent moisture and light southwesterly winds currently support slightly warmer minima while also introducing forecast spread from variable precipitation timing. Multiple global and regional models show close agreement on the daily range yet diverge on exact nocturnal cooling rates, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27 °C. PAGASA’s next regional update and fresh model runs within the next 24 hours will refine the lowest-temperature outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ETRecent southwest monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over Metro Manila are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, with official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models indicating minimum temperatures for August 26 likely near 26–27 °C amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity. Historical climatology places typical late-August lows at 24–26 °C, but persistent moisture and light southwesterly winds currently support slightly warmer minima while also introducing forecast spread from variable precipitation timing. Multiple global and regional models show close agreement on the daily range yet diverge on exact nocturnal cooling rates, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27 °C. PAGASA’s next regional update and fresh model runs within the next 24 hours will refine the lowest-temperature outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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