The near-even split between 21°C-or-below (47.0%) and 31°C-or-higher (46.5%) lows for Manila on September 21 stems primarily from uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by the monsoon’s moist southwesterly flow—limit daytime heating while trapping longwave radiation at night, compressing the diurnal range toward the 24–26°C climatological minimum. Model runs diverge on the timing and extent of convective cloudiness and any localized thunderstorm activity, which can add 1–3°C to the overnight low. PAGASA’s latest outlook projects 25–31°C with 40–60% rain chances, but fresh satellite and mesoscale guidance expected overnight will sharpen resolution criteria for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日马尼拉的最低温度？
9月21日马尼拉的最低温度？
21°C或以下 93%
31°C或更高 93%
27°C 40%
23°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
21°C或以下
93%
22°C
13%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
24%
28°C
39%
29°C
17%
30°C
17%
31°C或更高
93%
21°C或以下 93%
31°C或更高 93%
27°C 40%
23°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
93%
22°C
$0 交易量
13%
23°C
$0 交易量
39%
24°C
$0 交易量
39%
25°C
$0 交易量
22%
26°C
$0 交易量
22%
27°C
$5 交易量
24%
28°C
$0 交易量
39%
29°C
$0 交易量
17%
30°C
$0 交易量
17%
31°C或更高
$0 交易量
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The near-even split between 21°C-or-below (47.0%) and 31°C-or-higher (46.5%) lows for Manila on September 21 stems primarily from uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by the monsoon’s moist southwesterly flow—limit daytime heating while trapping longwave radiation at night, compressing the diurnal range toward the 24–26°C climatological minimum. Model runs diverge on the timing and extent of convective cloudiness and any localized thunderstorm activity, which can add 1–3°C to the overnight low. PAGASA’s latest outlook projects 25–31°C with 40–60% rain chances, but fresh satellite and mesoscale guidance expected overnight will sharpen resolution criteria for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$5结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The near-even split between 21°C-or-below (47.0%) and 31°C-or-higher (46.5%) lows for Manila on September 21 stems primarily from uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by the monsoon’s moist southwesterly flow—limit daytime heating while trapping longwave radiation at night, compressing the diurnal range toward the 24–26°C climatological minimum. Model runs diverge on the timing and extent of convective cloudiness and any localized thunderstorm activity, which can add 1–3°C to the overnight low. PAGASA’s latest outlook projects 25–31°C with 40–60% rain chances, but fresh satellite and mesoscale guidance expected overnight will sharpen resolution criteria for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThe near-even split between 21°C-or-below (47.0%) and 31°C-or-higher (46.5%) lows for Manila on September 21 stems primarily from uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by the monsoon’s moist southwesterly flow—limit daytime heating while trapping longwave radiation at night, compressing the diurnal range toward the 24–26°C climatological minimum. Model runs diverge on the timing and extent of convective cloudiness and any localized thunderstorm activity, which can add 1–3°C to the overnight low. PAGASA’s latest outlook projects 25–31°C with 40–60% rain chances, but fresh satellite and mesoscale guidance expected overnight will sharpen resolution criteria for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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