Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and other models indicate overnight lows in Incheon around 22–24°C on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and possible light rain moderating radiative cooling. Late-August climatology features typical diurnal ranges of 5–8°C under humid conditions, with urban heat effects in Seoul and marine influence at Incheon limiting sharper drops. Trader sentiment clusters near 22–23°C outcomes because model consensus shows steady overnight temperatures near the seasonal average, while the elevated probability on 28°C or higher reflects uncertainty if thicker clouds or stalled frontal activity suppress cooling further. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
8月31日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
28°C或更高 59%
25°C 35%
22°C 28%
21°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
18°C或以下
4%
19°C
7%
20°C
11%
21°C
25%
22°C
28%
23°C
22%
24°C
17%
25°C
35%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C或更高
59%
28°C或更高 59%
25°C 35%
22°C 28%
21°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
18°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
19°C
$0 交易量
7%
20°C
$0 交易量
11%
21°C
$0 交易量
25%
22°C
$0 交易量
28%
23°C
$0 交易量
22%
24°C
$0 交易量
17%
25°C
$0 交易量
35%
26°C
$0 交易量
2%
27°C
$0 交易量
2%
28°C或更高
$0 交易量
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and other models indicate overnight lows in Incheon around 22–24°C on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and possible light rain moderating radiative cooling. Late-August climatology features typical diurnal ranges of 5–8°C under humid conditions, with urban heat effects in Seoul and marine influence at Incheon limiting sharper drops. Trader sentiment clusters near 22–23°C outcomes because model consensus shows steady overnight temperatures near the seasonal average, while the elevated probability on 28°C or higher reflects uncertainty if thicker clouds or stalled frontal activity suppress cooling further. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and other models indicate overnight lows in Incheon around 22–24°C on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and possible light rain moderating radiative cooling. Late-August climatology features typical diurnal ranges of 5–8°C under humid conditions, with urban heat effects in Seoul and marine influence at Incheon limiting sharper drops. Trader sentiment clusters near 22–23°C outcomes because model consensus shows steady overnight temperatures near the seasonal average, while the elevated probability on 28°C or higher reflects uncertainty if thicker clouds or stalled frontal activity suppress cooling further. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and other models indicate overnight lows in Incheon around 22–24°C on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and possible light rain moderating radiative cooling. Late-August climatology features typical diurnal ranges of 5–8°C under humid conditions, with urban heat effects in Seoul and marine influence at Incheon limiting sharper drops. Trader sentiment clusters near 22–23°C outcomes because model consensus shows steady overnight temperatures near the seasonal average, while the elevated probability on 28°C or higher reflects uncertainty if thicker clouds or stalled frontal activity suppress cooling further. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题