Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate Seoul's overnight minimum on June 17 will register exactly 20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity, aligning with typical early-summer nocturnal cooling rates after daytime highs near 32–33°C. This narrow consensus, backed by recent observational trends and stable atmospheric conditions, underpins the market's near-certain implied probability for the 20°C outcome. Only an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or localized measurement anomaly at official stations could alter resolution, though current guidance shows low likelihood of deviation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月17日首尔最低气温?
20°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$25,699 交易量
$25,699 交易量
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或更高
否
20°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$25,699 交易量
$25,699 交易量
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate Seoul's overnight minimum on June 17 will register exactly 20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity, aligning with typical early-summer nocturnal cooling rates after daytime highs near 32–33°C. This narrow consensus, backed by recent observational trends and stable atmospheric conditions, underpins the market's near-certain implied probability for the 20°C outcome. Only an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or localized measurement anomaly at official stations could alter resolution, though current guidance shows low likelihood of deviation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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