Forecast models indicate minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 21 will likely fall in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with light northwesterly winds, moderate humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. Sea surface temperatures near 29°C help moderate extremes, while pressure around 1013 hPa and dew points near 18–20°C limit sharp drops. Recent observations show overnight lows hovering 22–26°C, aligning with climatological norms for the date. This genuine uncertainty around thresholds like 20°C versus 21–25°C keeps multiple outcomes near even implied probabilities, as small variations in wind speed or cloud cover can shift the exact minimum recorded by official stations. Updated model runs later today may refine the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日特拉维夫最低气温?
18°C或以下 100%
25°C 100%
24°C 99%
26°C 99%
18°C或以下
100%
19°C
49%
20°C
51%
21°C
50%
22°C
48%
23°C
37%
24°C
99%
25°C
100%
26°C
99%
27°C
2%
28°C或更高
99%
18°C或以下 100%
25°C 100%
24°C 99%
26°C 99%
18°C或以下
100%
19°C
49%
20°C
51%
21°C
50%
22°C
48%
23°C
37%
24°C
99%
25°C
100%
26°C
99%
27°C
2%
28°C或更高
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models indicate minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 21 will likely fall in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with light northwesterly winds, moderate humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. Sea surface temperatures near 29°C help moderate extremes, while pressure around 1013 hPa and dew points near 18–20°C limit sharp drops. Recent observations show overnight lows hovering 22–26°C, aligning with climatological norms for the date. This genuine uncertainty around thresholds like 20°C versus 21–25°C keeps multiple outcomes near even implied probabilities, as small variations in wind speed or cloud cover can shift the exact minimum recorded by official stations. Updated model runs later today may refine the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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