Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely minimum temperature in Wuhan on September 1 near 23–24°C, driven by northeasterly winds and increasing cloud cover that limit radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus around 22–24°C reflects tight clustering in official guidance from Chinese meteorological services, with minor spreads arising from uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical early-September averages hover near 24°C, but recent northerly flow has introduced slightly cooler air masses, keeping lower-probability outcomes below 20°C viable only if stronger cooling develops. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日武汉最低气温?
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
25°C 49%
22°C 27%
18°C or below
9%
19°C
17%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
49%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
25°C 49%
22°C 27%
18°C or below
9%
19°C
17%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
49%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely minimum temperature in Wuhan on September 1 near 23–24°C, driven by northeasterly winds and increasing cloud cover that limit radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus around 22–24°C reflects tight clustering in official guidance from Chinese meteorological services, with minor spreads arising from uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical early-September averages hover near 24°C, but recent northerly flow has introduced slightly cooler air masses, keeping lower-probability outcomes below 20°C viable only if stronger cooling develops. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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