Recent forecasts indicate a cooling trend in Wuhan driven by northerly winds and peripheral influences from typhoon activity, bringing cloudy skies and rain on August 30 that will limit daytime heating and enhance nocturnal cooling through increased cloud cover and precipitation. This shifts the expected minimum from recent highs near 28–30°C toward 24–27°C, with model consensus centering on 25–27°C depending on exact rainfall timing, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture retention. Minor divergences in ensemble runs—particularly around cloud thickness and storm cell placement—create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities for 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes, as these thresholds hinge on small differences in radiative cooling under humid subtropical conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日武汉最低气温?
30°C 59%
26°C 45%
24°C 45%
27°C 44%
22°C or below
16%
23°C
11%
24°C
45%
25°C
43%
26°C
45%
27°C
44%
28°C
2%
29°C
43%
30°C
59%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
13%
30°C 59%
26°C 45%
24°C 45%
27°C 44%
22°C or below
16%
23°C
11%
24°C
45%
25°C
43%
26°C
45%
27°C
44%
28°C
2%
29°C
43%
30°C
59%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts indicate a cooling trend in Wuhan driven by northerly winds and peripheral influences from typhoon activity, bringing cloudy skies and rain on August 30 that will limit daytime heating and enhance nocturnal cooling through increased cloud cover and precipitation. This shifts the expected minimum from recent highs near 28–30°C toward 24–27°C, with model consensus centering on 25–27°C depending on exact rainfall timing, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture retention. Minor divergences in ensemble runs—particularly around cloud thickness and storm cell placement—create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities for 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes, as these thresholds hinge on small differences in radiative cooling under humid subtropical conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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