Recent forecast models indicate stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly winds over Wuhan, supporting overnight radiative cooling that positions a minimum near 19°C as the consensus outcome with 56% market-implied probability. Clear skies and moderate humidity levels typical of mid-September are limiting cloud cover that could otherwise moderate temperatures, while historical September diurnal ranges in the region often produce lows 8–12°C below daytime highs around 32–33°C. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty in precise station readings versus broader model ensembles, with 18°C and sub-15°C outcomes holding notable weight at 44.5% each pending final official measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日武汉最低气温？
9月13日武汉最低气温？
15°C或以下 89%
18°C 89%
16°C 18%
17°C 18%
$1,230 交易量
$1,230 交易量
2026-09-13
15°C或以下
89%
16°C
18%
17°C
18%
18°C
89%
19°C
-
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
15°C或以下 89%
18°C 89%
16°C 18%
17°C 18%
$1,230 交易量
$1,230 交易量
2026-09-13
15°C或以下
$0 交易量
89%
16°C
$0 交易量
18%
17°C
$0 交易量
18%
18°C
$34 交易量
89%
19°C
$317 交易量
-
20°C
$145 交易量
<1%
21°C
$126 交易量
<1%
22°C
$262 交易量
<1%
23°C
$316 交易量
<1%
24°C
$15 交易量
<1%
25°C或更高
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly winds over Wuhan, supporting overnight radiative cooling that positions a minimum near 19°C as the consensus outcome with 56% market-implied probability. Clear skies and moderate humidity levels typical of mid-September are limiting cloud cover that could otherwise moderate temperatures, while historical September diurnal ranges in the region often produce lows 8–12°C below daytime highs around 32–33°C. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty in precise station readings versus broader model ensembles, with 18°C and sub-15°C outcomes holding notable weight at 44.5% each pending final official measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,230结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly winds over Wuhan, supporting overnight radiative cooling that positions a minimum near 19°C as the consensus outcome with 56% market-implied probability. Clear skies and moderate humidity levels typical of mid-September are limiting cloud cover that could otherwise moderate temperatures, while historical September diurnal ranges in the region often produce lows 8–12°C below daytime highs around 32–33°C. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty in precise station readings versus broader model ensembles, with 18°C and sub-15°C outcomes holding notable weight at 44.5% each pending final official measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,230结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast models indicate stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly winds over Wuhan, supporting overnight radiative cooling that positions a minimum near 19°C as the consensus outcome with 56% market-implied probability. Clear skies and moderate humidity levels typical of mid-September are limiting cloud cover that could otherwise moderate temperatures, while historical September diurnal ranges in the region often produce lows 8–12°C below daytime highs around 32–33°C. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty in precise station readings versus broader model ensembles, with 18°C and sub-15°C outcomes holding notable weight at 44.5% each pending final official measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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