Congress raised the statutory debt limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion through the July 2025 reconciliation package, providing substantial headroom above current outstanding debt near $39 trillion. Independent forecasts project the limit will next be reached in 2027, after which Treasury extraordinary measures could extend operations for six to nine additional months. Lawmakers have modified the ceiling more than 100 times since World War II and have consistently avoided default, reflecting bipartisan recognition of the economic risks involved. With the next potential confrontation still more than a year away and ample procedural tools available, traders assign only a low probability to an actual default occurring by the end of 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于到2027年美国债务违约？
到2027年美国债务违约？
是
$15,073 交易量
$15,073 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$15,073 交易量
$15,073 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.Congress raised the statutory debt limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion through the July 2025 reconciliation package, providing substantial headroom above current outstanding debt near $39 trillion. Independent forecasts project the limit will next be reached in 2027, after which Treasury extraordinary measures could extend operations for six to nine additional months. Lawmakers have modified the ceiling more than 100 times since World War II and have consistently avoided default, reflecting bipartisan recognition of the economic risks involved. With the next potential confrontation still more than a year away and ample procedural tools available, traders assign only a low probability to an actual default occurring by the end of 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ET
交易量
$15,073结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.Congress raised the statutory debt limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion through the July 2025 reconciliation package, providing substantial headroom above current outstanding debt near $39 trillion. Independent forecasts project the limit will next be reached in 2027, after which Treasury extraordinary measures could extend operations for six to nine additional months. Lawmakers have modified the ceiling more than 100 times since World War II and have consistently avoided default, reflecting bipartisan recognition of the economic risks involved. With the next potential confrontation still more than a year away and ample procedural tools available, traders assign only a low probability to an actual default occurring by the end of 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
交易量
$15,073结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Congress raised the statutory debt limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion through the July 2025 reconciliation package, providing substantial headroom above current outstanding debt near $39 trillion. Independent forecasts project the limit will next be reached in 2027, after which Treasury extraordinary measures could extend operations for six to nine additional months. Lawmakers have modified the ceiling more than 100 times since World War II and have consistently avoided default, reflecting bipartisan recognition of the economic risks involved. With the next potential confrontation still more than a year away and ample procedural tools available, traders assign only a low probability to an actual default occurring by the end of 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题