High-level bilateral negotiations between the US and Cuba, publicly confirmed by President Miguel Díaz-Canel on March 13, 2026, amid an acute energy crisis from the Trump administration's January oil blockade targeting suppliers, are the dominant factor shaping trader consensus. Cuba has signaled openness to economic cooperation—including potential sanctions relief and investment—while firmly rejecting US demands for leadership changes, such as Díaz-Canel's resignation, creating a key impasse despite goodwill steps like prisoner releases. A US congressional delegation's April 6 visit underscored the blockade's humanitarian toll, but no deal has emerged. Upcoming diplomatic sessions or policy shifts could tip probabilities, reflecting historical patterns of stalled normalization under tight sanctions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$124,801 交易量
2026-06-30
4月30日
5%
6月30日
32%
$124,801 交易量
4月30日
$69,295 交易量
5%
6月30日
$56,191 交易量
32%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.High-level bilateral negotiations between the US and Cuba, publicly confirmed by President Miguel Díaz-Canel on March 13, 2026, amid an acute energy crisis from the Trump administration's January oil blockade targeting suppliers, are the dominant factor shaping trader consensus. Cuba has signaled openness to economic cooperation—including potential sanctions relief and investment—while firmly rejecting US demands for leadership changes, such as Díaz-Canel's resignation, creating a key impasse despite goodwill steps like prisoner releases. A US congressional delegation's April 6 visit underscored the blockade's humanitarian toll, but no deal has emerged. Upcoming diplomatic sessions or policy shifts could tip probabilities, reflecting historical patterns of stalled normalization under tight sanctions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市场开放时间： Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
交易量
$124,801结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.High-level bilateral negotiations between the US and Cuba, publicly confirmed by President Miguel Díaz-Canel on March 13, 2026, amid an acute energy crisis from the Trump administration's January oil blockade targeting suppliers, are the dominant factor shaping trader consensus. Cuba has signaled openness to economic cooperation—including potential sanctions relief and investment—while firmly rejecting US demands for leadership changes, such as Díaz-Canel's resignation, creating a key impasse despite goodwill steps like prisoner releases. A US congressional delegation's April 6 visit underscored the blockade's humanitarian toll, but no deal has emerged. Upcoming diplomatic sessions or policy shifts could tip probabilities, reflecting historical patterns of stalled normalization under tight sanctions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$124,801结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...High-level bilateral negotiations between the US and Cuba, publicly confirmed by President Miguel Díaz-Canel on March 13, 2026, amid an acute energy crisis from the Trump administration's January oil blockade targeting suppliers, are the dominant factor shaping trader consensus. Cuba has signaled openness to economic cooperation—including potential sanctions relief and investment—while firmly rejecting US demands for leadership changes, such as Díaz-Canel's resignation, creating a key impasse despite goodwill steps like prisoner releases. A US congressional delegation's April 6 visit underscored the blockade's humanitarian toll, but no deal has emerged. Upcoming diplomatic sessions or policy shifts could tip probabilities, reflecting historical patterns of stalled normalization under tight sanctions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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