**No country has issued a formal withdrawal notice or signaled intent to exit BRICS ahead of or during 2026.** All current full members participated in the May 2026 foreign ministers meeting and the September New Delhi summit under India's chairmanship, where leaders adopted the New Delhi Declaration covering trade, payments, and global governance. The bloc continues to list eleven members, pursue local-currency initiatives through the New Development Bank, and receive membership applications from additional states. Saudi Arabia's status remains an unconfirmed invitation rather than a departure, and no leadership changes or policy reversals have produced exit pressures comparable to historical cases. These factors underpin the strong trader consensus reflected in the 93.8% implied probability for "No."
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于一个国家会在2026年离开金砖国家吗？
一个国家会在2026年离开金砖国家吗？
是
6% 概率
$76,430 交易量
$76,430 交易量
2026-12-31
是
6% 概率
$76,430 交易量
$76,430 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No country has issued a formal withdrawal notice or signaled intent to exit BRICS ahead of or during 2026.** All current full members participated in the May 2026 foreign ministers meeting and the September New Delhi summit under India's chairmanship, where leaders adopted the New Delhi Declaration covering trade, payments, and global governance. The bloc continues to list eleven members, pursue local-currency initiatives through the New Development Bank, and receive membership applications from additional states. Saudi Arabia's status remains an unconfirmed invitation rather than a departure, and no leadership changes or policy reversals have produced exit pressures comparable to historical cases. These factors underpin the strong trader consensus reflected in the 93.8% implied probability for "No."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 7, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
交易量
$76,430结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 5:10 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No country has issued a formal withdrawal notice or signaled intent to exit BRICS ahead of or during 2026.** All current full members participated in the May 2026 foreign ministers meeting and the September New Delhi summit under India's chairmanship, where leaders adopted the New Delhi Declaration covering trade, payments, and global governance. The bloc continues to list eleven members, pursue local-currency initiatives through the New Development Bank, and receive membership applications from additional states. Saudi Arabia's status remains an unconfirmed invitation rather than a departure, and no leadership changes or policy reversals have produced exit pressures comparable to historical cases. These factors underpin the strong trader consensus reflected in the 93.8% implied probability for "No."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$76,430结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 5:10 PM ET**No country has issued a formal withdrawal notice or signaled intent to exit BRICS ahead of or during 2026.** All current full members participated in the May 2026 foreign ministers meeting and the September New Delhi summit under India's chairmanship, where leaders adopted the New Delhi Declaration covering trade, payments, and global governance. The bloc continues to list eleven members, pursue local-currency initiatives through the New Development Bank, and receive membership applications from additional states. Saudi Arabia's status remains an unconfirmed invitation rather than a departure, and no leadership changes or policy reversals have produced exit pressures comparable to historical cases. These factors underpin the strong trader consensus reflected in the 93.8% implied probability for "No."
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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