Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 11°C (41.5%) over 12°C (33.5%) for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centering daytime highs around 11°C amid a high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and light easterly winds (3-5 m/s) that enhance solar heating. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's point forecast caps at 9°C near 15:00-17:00 local time at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport—the market's resolution station—reflecting conservative cloud cover assumptions, while global models project slightly stronger boundary layer mixing for potential 12°C if skies remain clearer than expected. This tight split underscores model spread on afternoon insolation and subtle temperature advection, with real-time observations through mid-afternoon pivotal; historical mid-April highs average 7-9°C but recent dry conditions support above-normal warmth.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Helsinki on April 12?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 12?
11°C 42%
12°C 34%
10°C 11%
13°C 4.8%
$28,940 Vol.
$28,940 Vol.
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
11%
11°C
42%
12°C
34%
13°C
5%
14°C or higher
1%
11°C 42%
12°C 34%
10°C 11%
13°C 4.8%
$28,940 Vol.
$28,940 Vol.
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
11%
11°C
42%
12°C
34%
13°C
5%
14°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 8, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 11°C (41.5%) over 12°C (33.5%) for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centering daytime highs around 11°C amid a high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and light easterly winds (3-5 m/s) that enhance solar heating. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's point forecast caps at 9°C near 15:00-17:00 local time at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport—the market's resolution station—reflecting conservative cloud cover assumptions, while global models project slightly stronger boundary layer mixing for potential 12°C if skies remain clearer than expected. This tight split underscores model spread on afternoon insolation and subtle temperature advection, with real-time observations through mid-afternoon pivotal; historical mid-April highs average 7-9°C but recent dry conditions support above-normal warmth.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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