Current forecasts from numerical weather models place Mexico City's August 16 high near the seasonal average of 24–26°C for its high-altitude subtropical highland climate, where afternoon convective showers and elevation typically cap peak readings. Recent runs show consensus around 25–27°C, with 26°C emerging as the modal outcome due to stable atmospheric conditions and no strong warming anomalies. Traders weight official agency guidance and ensemble spreads heavily, as resolution hinges on verified maximum observations rather than models alone; minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover could still adjust the final value within the narrow favored band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 16. August?
26°C 60%
27°C 22%
25°C 18%
24°C 3%
21°C oder niedriger
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
18%
26°C
60%
27°C
22%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 60%
27°C 22%
25°C 18%
24°C 3%
21°C oder niedriger
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
18%
26°C
60%
27°C
22%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from numerical weather models place Mexico City's August 16 high near the seasonal average of 24–26°C for its high-altitude subtropical highland climate, where afternoon convective showers and elevation typically cap peak readings. Recent runs show consensus around 25–27°C, with 26°C emerging as the modal outcome due to stable atmospheric conditions and no strong warming anomalies. Traders weight official agency guidance and ensemble spreads heavily, as resolution hinges on verified maximum observations rather than models alone; minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover could still adjust the final value within the narrow favored band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen