Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration data, indicate a highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 1 around 29–31°C under clear skies, northeasterly winds of 5–10 m/s, and minimal precipitation. This setup supports moderate diurnal heating without strong warm advection or subsidence from persistent high pressure, keeping values near early-September climatology. The tightly clustered market-implied odds around 30–32°C reflect model ensemble spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than major dynamical shifts. Updated runs ahead of resolution will hinge on observed surface observations and any adjustments to cloud cover or wind strength that could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 1. September?
32°C or higher 48%
30°C 26%
29°C 10%
28°C 9%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
10%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
27%
32°C or higher 48%
30°C 26%
29°C 10%
28°C 9%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
10%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
27%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration data, indicate a highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 1 around 29–31°C under clear skies, northeasterly winds of 5–10 m/s, and minimal precipitation. This setup supports moderate diurnal heating without strong warm advection or subsidence from persistent high pressure, keeping values near early-September climatology. The tightly clustered market-implied odds around 30–32°C reflect model ensemble spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than major dynamical shifts. Updated runs ahead of resolution will hinge on observed surface observations and any adjustments to cloud cover or wind strength that could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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