Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including hourly model runs and station observations, indicate Zhengzhou will reach a daytime high of 32–33°C under clear to mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where solar heating peaks amid low precipitation chances and moderate humidity. The market-implied 99.8% probability for 32°C or higher reflects strong consensus across official guidance and real-time data confirming temperatures already climbing through the low 30s by mid-morning. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloud cover or convective activity to suppress maximum temperatures below the threshold, though no such signals appear in current model consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 31. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 31. August?
32°C or higher 99.8%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 99.8%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$970 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$990 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,065 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$315 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$104 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$465 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$867 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,995 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including hourly model runs and station observations, indicate Zhengzhou will reach a daytime high of 32–33°C under clear to mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where solar heating peaks amid low precipitation chances and moderate humidity. The market-implied 99.8% probability for 32°C or higher reflects strong consensus across official guidance and real-time data confirming temperatures already climbing through the low 30s by mid-morning. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloud cover or convective activity to suppress maximum temperatures below the threshold, though no such signals appear in current model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$7,439Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including hourly model runs and station observations, indicate Zhengzhou will reach a daytime high of 32–33°C under clear to mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where solar heating peaks amid low precipitation chances and moderate humidity. The market-implied 99.8% probability for 32°C or higher reflects strong consensus across official guidance and real-time data confirming temperatures already climbing through the low 30s by mid-morning. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloud cover or convective activity to suppress maximum temperatures below the threshold, though no such signals appear in current model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,439Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including hourly model runs and station observations, indicate Zhengzhou will reach a daytime high of 32–33°C under clear to mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where solar heating peaks amid low precipitation chances and moderate humidity. The market-implied 99.8% probability for 32°C or higher reflects strong consensus across official guidance and real-time data confirming temperatures already climbing through the low 30s by mid-morning. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloud cover or convective activity to suppress maximum temperatures below the threshold, though no such signals appear in current model consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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