Recent monsoon-enhanced conditions and two monitored low-pressure areas are sustaining widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate northwest winds over Metro Manila, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and compressing the diurnal temperature range. Official guidance from PAGASA and ensemble models points to an overnight minimum near 24–26 °C on September 13, with persistent humidity near 90 % and light precipitation further moderating extremes. This scientific uncertainty around exact cloud timing and any localized clearing explains the closely matched market-implied odds across 24–25 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the latest model runs against historical September baselines of roughly 25–26 °C lows. Updated PAGASA advisories and next model cycles will likely refine the distribution before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 13. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 13. September?
29°C oder höher 57%
19°C oder darunter 56%
22°C 40%
25°C 40%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
19°C oder darunter
56%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
40%
23°C
22%
24°C
26%
25°C
33%
26°C
25%
27°C
22%
28°C
17%
29°C oder höher
57%
29°C oder höher 57%
19°C oder darunter 56%
22°C 40%
25°C 40%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
19°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
56%
20°C
$0 Vol.
3%
21°C
$0 Vol.
3%
22°C
$79 Vol.
40%
23°C
$62 Vol.
22%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$5 Vol.
33%
26°C
$0 Vol.
25%
27°C
$40 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
17%
29°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
57%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon-enhanced conditions and two monitored low-pressure areas are sustaining widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate northwest winds over Metro Manila, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and compressing the diurnal temperature range. Official guidance from PAGASA and ensemble models points to an overnight minimum near 24–26 °C on September 13, with persistent humidity near 90 % and light precipitation further moderating extremes. This scientific uncertainty around exact cloud timing and any localized clearing explains the closely matched market-implied odds across 24–25 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the latest model runs against historical September baselines of roughly 25–26 °C lows. Updated PAGASA advisories and next model cycles will likely refine the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$185Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon-enhanced conditions and two monitored low-pressure areas are sustaining widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate northwest winds over Metro Manila, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and compressing the diurnal temperature range. Official guidance from PAGASA and ensemble models points to an overnight minimum near 24–26 °C on September 13, with persistent humidity near 90 % and light precipitation further moderating extremes. This scientific uncertainty around exact cloud timing and any localized clearing explains the closely matched market-implied odds across 24–25 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the latest model runs against historical September baselines of roughly 25–26 °C lows. Updated PAGASA advisories and next model cycles will likely refine the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$185Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon-enhanced conditions and two monitored low-pressure areas are sustaining widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate northwest winds over Metro Manila, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and compressing the diurnal temperature range. Official guidance from PAGASA and ensemble models points to an overnight minimum near 24–26 °C on September 13, with persistent humidity near 90 % and light precipitation further moderating extremes. This scientific uncertainty around exact cloud timing and any localized clearing explains the closely matched market-implied odds across 24–25 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the latest model runs against historical September baselines of roughly 25–26 °C lows. Updated PAGASA advisories and next model cycles will likely refine the distribution before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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