Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Metro Manila is sustaining widespread cloud cover, frequent showers, and elevated humidity levels that moderate nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows clustered near 24–25 °C. Official PAGASA observations recorded a 24.7 °C minimum on the morning of September 9, while forecast guidance shows only modest variability depending on the timing and intensity of convective rain bands. High dew points near 24 °C further limit temperature drops, yet localized breaks in cloudiness or heavier rainfall could nudge the actual minimum a degree lower or higher. Traders are therefore splitting probability between the 23 °C and 25 °C outcomes as the final hourly readings accumulate through the night.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 9. September?
25°C 99.5%
23°C 20%
24°C 20%
20°C oder weniger 3%
$1,464 Vol.
$1,464 Vol.
20°C oder weniger
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Ja
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C oder höher
Nein
25°C 99.5%
23°C 20%
24°C 20%
20°C oder weniger 3%
$1,464 Vol.
$1,464 Vol.
20°C oder weniger
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Ja
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Metro Manila is sustaining widespread cloud cover, frequent showers, and elevated humidity levels that moderate nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows clustered near 24–25 °C. Official PAGASA observations recorded a 24.7 °C minimum on the morning of September 9, while forecast guidance shows only modest variability depending on the timing and intensity of convective rain bands. High dew points near 24 °C further limit temperature drops, yet localized breaks in cloudiness or heavier rainfall could nudge the actual minimum a degree lower or higher. Traders are therefore splitting probability between the 23 °C and 25 °C outcomes as the final hourly readings accumulate through the night.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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