Traders heavily favor an 80–85 per 100,000 cumulative flu hospitalization rate for CDC FluSurv-NET week 13 (ending April 4, 2026) at 88% implied probability, driven by the latest official data showing 82.7 per 100,000 as of week 12—up slightly from 81.6 the prior week amid a severe season ranking third highest since 2010–2011, dominated by influenza A(H3N2). Declining trends, with weekly rates dropping to 0.8 per 100,000 and outpatient ILI at 2.6% below baseline, plus FluSight forecasts predicting just 0.46 per 100,000 new national admissions next week (95% interval: 0.09–1.23), position minimal further increases. Resolution awaits CDC's week 13 FluView report, expected soon, amid low influenza activity across regions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 13, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 13, 2026?
80–85 88%
90+ 5.7%
<70 5.1%
85–90 5.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 abr 2026
<70
5%
70–75
3%
75–80
3%
80–85
88%
85–90
8%
90+
6%
80–85 88%
90+ 5.7%
<70 5.1%
85–90 5.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 abr 2026
<70
$125 Vol.
5%
70–75
$67 Vol.
3%
75–80
$96 Vol.
3%
80–85
$54 Vol.
88%
85–90
$17 Vol.
8%
90+
$17 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Traders heavily favor an 80–85 per 100,000 cumulative flu hospitalization rate for CDC FluSurv-NET week 13 (ending April 4, 2026) at 88% implied probability, driven by the latest official data showing 82.7 per 100,000 as of week 12—up slightly from 81.6 the prior week amid a severe season ranking third highest since 2010–2011, dominated by influenza A(H3N2). Declining trends, with weekly rates dropping to 0.8 per 100,000 and outpatient ILI at 2.6% below baseline, plus FluSight forecasts predicting just 0.46 per 100,000 new national admissions next week (95% interval: 0.09–1.23), position minimal further increases. Resolution awaits CDC's week 13 FluView report, expected soon, amid low influenza activity across regions.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Mercado abierto: Apr 3, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Volumen
$376Fecha de finalización
10 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Traders heavily favor an 80–85 per 100,000 cumulative flu hospitalization rate for CDC FluSurv-NET week 13 (ending April 4, 2026) at 88% implied probability, driven by the latest official data showing 82.7 per 100,000 as of week 12—up slightly from 81.6 the prior week amid a severe season ranking third highest since 2010–2011, dominated by influenza A(H3N2). Declining trends, with weekly rates dropping to 0.8 per 100,000 and outpatient ILI at 2.6% below baseline, plus FluSight forecasts predicting just 0.46 per 100,000 new national admissions next week (95% interval: 0.09–1.23), position minimal further increases. Resolution awaits CDC's week 13 FluView report, expected soon, amid low influenza activity across regions.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Volumen
$376Fecha de finalización
10 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor an 80–85 per 100,000 cumulative flu hospitalization rate for CDC FluSurv-NET week 13 (ending April 4, 2026) at 88% implied probability, driven by the latest official data showing 82.7 per 100,000 as of week 12—up slightly from 81.6 the prior week amid a severe season ranking third highest since 2010–2011, dominated by influenza A(H3N2). Declining trends, with weekly rates dropping to 0.8 per 100,000 and outpatient ILI at 2.6% below baseline, plus FluSight forecasts predicting just 0.46 per 100,000 new national admissions next week (95% interval: 0.09–1.23), position minimal further increases. Resolution awaits CDC's week 13 FluView report, expected soon, amid low influenza activity across regions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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