Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 20-22°C for Chengdu's March 27 high, driven by converging ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models showing mean peaks of 21°C amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan Basin. Recent CMA updates and satellite imagery confirm mild southerly advection following a departed cold front, boosting probabilities for 22°C (26%) over 21°C (25%), while cloud cover variability tempers 23°C+ odds (13% combined). Historical March 27 highs average 19.8°C at the official station, but urban heat and low wind shear differentiate upper outcomes; key watch is afternoon insolation before potential evening showers, with resolution hinging on verified observations from the Chengdu meteorological bureau.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on March 27?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 27?
22°C 20%
19°C 17%
21°C 17%
23°C 17%
$11,275 Vol.
$11,275 Vol.
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
17%
20°C
15%
21°C
25%
22°C
26%
23°C
17%
24°C or higher
12%
22°C 20%
19°C 17%
21°C 17%
23°C 17%
$11,275 Vol.
$11,275 Vol.
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
17%
20°C
15%
21°C
25%
22°C
26%
23°C
17%
24°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 20-22°C for Chengdu's March 27 high, driven by converging ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models showing mean peaks of 21°C amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan Basin. Recent CMA updates and satellite imagery confirm mild southerly advection following a departed cold front, boosting probabilities for 22°C (26%) over 21°C (25%), while cloud cover variability tempers 23°C+ odds (13% combined). Historical March 27 highs average 19.8°C at the official station, but urban heat and low wind shear differentiate upper outcomes; key watch is afternoon insolation before potential evening showers, with resolution hinging on verified observations from the Chengdu meteorological bureau.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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