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¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 29 de marzo?

Market icon

¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 29 de marzo?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

80-81°F 38%

82-83°F 31%

78-79°F 16%

84-85°F 11%

Polymarket
NEW

80-81°F 38%

82-83°F 31%

78-79°F 16%

84-85°F 11%

Polymarket
NEW

73°F o menos

$933 Vol.

2%

74-75°F

$334 Vol.

2%

76-77°F

$190 Vol.

2%

78-79°F

$289 Vol.

16%

80-81°F

$381 Vol.

38%

82-83°F

$285 Vol.

31%

84-85°F

$315 Vol.

11%

86-87°F

$230 Vol.

3%

88-89°F

$1,095 Vol.

2%

90-91°F

$592 Vol.

1%

92°F o más

$1,209 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance from the Houston/Galveston office, updated March 27, forecasts a high near 74°F on March 29 under partly sunny skies, with northeasterly winds at 10-15 mph gusting to 25 mph following cold front passage, limiting daytime heating through enhanced mixing and cooler air advection across southeast Texas. Despite this, Polymarket traders imply 66% odds for 80°F+ via closely matched 80-81°F (35%) and 82-83°F (31%), betting on potential frontal weakening or underforecast warmth amid March's pattern of highs in the low 80s (e.g., 81°F on March 24). Key differentiators include model spread—GFS ensembles sometimes favor deeper mixing for 82°F peaks versus ECMWF cloudier scenarios capping at 80°F—solar insolation, and dewpoint recovery; expect volatility from afternoon 12z/18z updates resolving boundary layer uncertainties before observation.

National Weather Service guidance from the Houston/Galveston office, updated March 27, forecasts a high near 74°F on March 29 under partly sunny skies, with northeasterly winds at 10-15 mph gusting to 25 mph following cold front passage, limiting daytime heating through enhanced mixing and cooler air advection across southeast Texas. Despite this, Polymarket traders imply 66% odds for 80°F+ via closely matched 80-81°F (35%) and 82-83°F (31%), betting on potential frontal weakening or underforecast warmth amid March's pattern of highs in the low 80s (e.g., 81°F on March 24). Key differentiators include model spread—GFS ensembles sometimes favor deeper mixing for 82°F peaks versus ECMWF cloudier scenarios capping at 80°F—solar insolation, and dewpoint recovery; expect volatility from afternoon 12z/18z updates resolving boundary layer uncertainties before observation.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance from the Houston/Galveston office, updated March 27, forecasts a high near 74°F on March 29 under partly sunny skies, with northeasterly winds at 10-15 mph gusting to 25 mph following cold front passage, limiting daytime heating through enhanced mixing and cooler air advection across southeast Texas. Despite this, Polymarket traders imply 66% odds for 80°F+ via closely matched 80-81°F (35%) and 82-83°F (31%), betting on potential frontal weakening or underforecast warmth amid March's pattern of highs in the low 80s (e.g., 81°F on March 24). Key differentiators include model spread—GFS ensembles sometimes favor deeper mixing for 82°F peaks versus ECMWF cloudier scenarios capping at 80°F—solar insolation, and dewpoint recovery; expect volatility from afternoon 12z/18z updates resolving boundary layer uncertainties before observation.

National Weather Service guidance from the Houston/Galveston office, updated March 27, forecasts a high near 74°F on March 29 under partly sunny skies, with northeasterly winds at 10-15 mph gusting to 25 mph following cold front passage, limiting daytime heating through enhanced mixing and cooler air advection across southeast Texas. Despite this, Polymarket traders imply 66% odds for 80°F+ via closely matched 80-81°F (35%) and 82-83°F (31%), betting on potential frontal weakening or underforecast warmth amid March's pattern of highs in the low 80s (e.g., 81°F on March 24). Key differentiators include model spread—GFS ensembles sometimes favor deeper mixing for 82°F peaks versus ECMWF cloudier scenarios capping at 80°F—solar insolation, and dewpoint recovery; expect volatility from afternoon 12z/18z updates resolving boundary layer uncertainties before observation.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 29 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "80-81°F" con 38%, seguido de "82-83°F" con 31%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 38¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 38% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 29 de marzo?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 25, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 29 de marzo?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 29 de marzo?" es "80-81°F" con 38%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 38% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "82-83°F" con 31%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 29 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.