Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 11°C (28.5%) or 10°C (27.0%) in London on March 28, driven primarily by the latest Met Office forecast indicating a maximum near 11°C amid a mild Atlantic airflow bringing temperatures slightly above the late-March average of 10-11°C at Heathrow. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spread from ECMWF and GFS, with subtle variations in cloud cover and light showers potentially capping peaks at 10°C if overcast, versus clearer spells pushing to 12°C (21.0%); recent cooling trends from a weakening high-pressure ridge add uncertainty, as northerly winds could shave 1-2°C off guidance, keeping lower outcomes viable despite low probabilities. Upcoming hourly updates from official monitors will sharpen resolution odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 28 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 28 de marzo?
11°C 29%
10°C 27%
12°C 21%
9°C 14%
6°C o menos
2%
7°C
2%
8°C
4%
9°C
14%
10°C
27%
11°C
29%
12°C
21%
13°C
7%
14°C
3%
15°C
3%
16°C o más
2%
11°C 29%
10°C 27%
12°C 21%
9°C 14%
6°C o menos
2%
7°C
2%
8°C
4%
9°C
14%
10°C
27%
11°C
29%
12°C
21%
13°C
7%
14°C
3%
15°C
3%
16°C o más
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 11°C (28.5%) or 10°C (27.0%) in London on March 28, driven primarily by the latest Met Office forecast indicating a maximum near 11°C amid a mild Atlantic airflow bringing temperatures slightly above the late-March average of 10-11°C at Heathrow. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spread from ECMWF and GFS, with subtle variations in cloud cover and light showers potentially capping peaks at 10°C if overcast, versus clearer spells pushing to 12°C (21.0%); recent cooling trends from a weakening high-pressure ridge add uncertainty, as northerly winds could shave 1-2°C off guidance, keeping lower outcomes viable despite low probabilities. Upcoming hourly updates from official monitors will sharpen resolution odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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