Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 28–30°C highs for Mexico City on April 17, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 27–29°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Recent observations show afternoon temperatures already hitting 28°C with light winds from the northeast, enhancing radiative heating despite the city's 2,240-meter elevation that caps extremes. Differentiation stems from uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover—greater sunshine via reduced stratocumulus could push toward 30°C via urban heat island amplification, while isolated showers favor 28°C; historical April averages hover at 26°C, underscoring model spread. Final hourly data from Benito Juárez airport will resolve amid low precipitation risk.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
29°C 32%
28°C 27%
30°C 26%
31°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 abr 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
7%
28°C
27%
29°C
32%
30°C
24%
31°C
14%
32°C
7%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 32%
28°C 27%
30°C 26%
31°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 abr 2026
25°C or below
$906 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,255 Vol.
5%
27°C
$556 Vol.
7%
28°C
$235 Vol.
27%
29°C
$220 Vol.
32%
30°C
$143 Vol.
24%
31°C
$199 Vol.
14%
32°C
$389 Vol.
7%
33°C
$380 Vol.
2%
34°C
$496 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$1,852 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 28–30°C highs for Mexico City on April 17, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 27–29°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Recent observations show afternoon temperatures already hitting 28°C with light winds from the northeast, enhancing radiative heating despite the city's 2,240-meter elevation that caps extremes. Differentiation stems from uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover—greater sunshine via reduced stratocumulus could push toward 30°C via urban heat island amplification, while isolated showers favor 28°C; historical April averages hover at 26°C, underscoring model spread. Final hourly data from Benito Juárez airport will resolve amid low precipitation risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Volumen
$7,630Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 28–30°C highs for Mexico City on April 17, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 27–29°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Recent observations show afternoon temperatures already hitting 28°C with light winds from the northeast, enhancing radiative heating despite the city's 2,240-meter elevation that caps extremes. Differentiation stems from uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover—greater sunshine via reduced stratocumulus could push toward 30°C via urban heat island amplification, while isolated showers favor 28°C; historical April averages hover at 26°C, underscoring model spread. Final hourly data from Benito Juárez airport will resolve amid low precipitation risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,630Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 28–30°C highs for Mexico City on April 17, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 27–29°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Recent observations show afternoon temperatures already hitting 28°C with light winds from the northeast, enhancing radiative heating despite the city's 2,240-meter elevation that caps extremes. Differentiation stems from uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover—greater sunshine via reduced stratocumulus could push toward 30°C via urban heat island amplification, while isolated showers favor 28°C; historical April averages hover at 26°C, underscoring model spread. Final hourly data from Benito Juárez airport will resolve amid low precipitation risk.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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