Trader consensus on Munich's March 27 high temperature clusters tightly around 6°C (30%) and 7°C (24.5%), driven by the latest ECMWF and DWD ICON model ensembles forecasting maxima in this range amid a cool northerly airflow from a persistent low-pressure system over Scandinavia. These outcomes edge out 5°C (17%) due to slight warming trends in afternoon shortwave radiation forecasts, despite variable cloud cover introducing uncertainty. Historical March 27 averages hover near 10°C, but this year's cooler-than-normal anomaly—tied to stratospheric polar vortex influences—caps upside potential, with 8°C or higher below 15% combined as upper-air ridging remains unlikely per ensemble probabilities. Key watch: tomorrow's 12Z model updates for final resolution tweaks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on March 27?
Highest temperature in Munich on March 27?
6°C 30%
7°C 24%
5°C 17%
8°C 13%
0°C or below
1%
1°C
1%
2°C
2%
3°C
4%
4°C
9%
5°C
17%
6°C
30%
7°C
24%
8°C
13%
9°C
8%
10°C or higher
2%
6°C 30%
7°C 24%
5°C 17%
8°C 13%
0°C or below
1%
1°C
1%
2°C
2%
3°C
4%
4°C
9%
5°C
17%
6°C
30%
7°C
24%
8°C
13%
9°C
8%
10°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Munich's March 27 high temperature clusters tightly around 6°C (30%) and 7°C (24.5%), driven by the latest ECMWF and DWD ICON model ensembles forecasting maxima in this range amid a cool northerly airflow from a persistent low-pressure system over Scandinavia. These outcomes edge out 5°C (17%) due to slight warming trends in afternoon shortwave radiation forecasts, despite variable cloud cover introducing uncertainty. Historical March 27 averages hover near 10°C, but this year's cooler-than-normal anomaly—tied to stratospheric polar vortex influences—caps upside potential, with 8°C or higher below 15% combined as upper-air ridging remains unlikely per ensemble probabilities. Key watch: tomorrow's 12Z model updates for final resolution tweaks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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