Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74.5% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature at San Francisco International Airport (SFO) reaching 72°F or higher today, aligning closely with the National Weather Service forecast of a high near 74°F under sunny skies. This positioning stems from a post-frontal high pressure ridge building over the region overnight, promoting subsidence warming aloft—as 850 mb temperatures rise to 13-14°C from yesterday's cooler 2.8°C—and moderate offshore flow through midday that suppresses marine layer development, allowing efficient solar heating above the April climatological normal of 64°F. Recent Area Forecast Discussion updates at 12 AM PDT confirm model consensus for continued warming, with yesterday's onshore winds yielding cooler conditions now giving way to north-northeast gradients. Lower odds for 70-71°F (19.5%) reflect minor uncertainty from potential wind gusts or delayed clearing, while real-time METAR observations and afternoon updates could refine trajectories before evening resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 3?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 3?
72°F or higher 77%
70-71°F 18%
68-69°F 5%
62-63°F <1%
$30,235 Vol.
$30,235 Vol.
3 abr 2026
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
18%
72°F or higher
77%
72°F or higher 77%
70-71°F 18%
68-69°F 5%
62-63°F <1%
$30,235 Vol.
$30,235 Vol.
3 abr 2026
53°F or below
$7,008 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$2,122 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,640 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$2,653 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,535 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$2,329 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$3,212 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,597 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$1,614 Vol.
5%
70-71°F
$2,341 Vol.
18%
72°F or higher
$3,222 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74.5% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature at San Francisco International Airport (SFO) reaching 72°F or higher today, aligning closely with the National Weather Service forecast of a high near 74°F under sunny skies. This positioning stems from a post-frontal high pressure ridge building over the region overnight, promoting subsidence warming aloft—as 850 mb temperatures rise to 13-14°C from yesterday's cooler 2.8°C—and moderate offshore flow through midday that suppresses marine layer development, allowing efficient solar heating above the April climatological normal of 64°F. Recent Area Forecast Discussion updates at 12 AM PDT confirm model consensus for continued warming, with yesterday's onshore winds yielding cooler conditions now giving way to north-northeast gradients. Lower odds for 70-71°F (19.5%) reflect minor uncertainty from potential wind gusts or delayed clearing, while real-time METAR observations and afternoon updates could refine trajectories before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
Volumen
$30,235Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:35 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74.5% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature at San Francisco International Airport (SFO) reaching 72°F or higher today, aligning closely with the National Weather Service forecast of a high near 74°F under sunny skies. This positioning stems from a post-frontal high pressure ridge building over the region overnight, promoting subsidence warming aloft—as 850 mb temperatures rise to 13-14°C from yesterday's cooler 2.8°C—and moderate offshore flow through midday that suppresses marine layer development, allowing efficient solar heating above the April climatological normal of 64°F. Recent Area Forecast Discussion updates at 12 AM PDT confirm model consensus for continued warming, with yesterday's onshore winds yielding cooler conditions now giving way to north-northeast gradients. Lower odds for 70-71°F (19.5%) reflect minor uncertainty from potential wind gusts or delayed clearing, while real-time METAR observations and afternoon updates could refine trajectories before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$30,235Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:35 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74.5% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature at San Francisco International Airport (SFO) reaching 72°F or higher today, aligning closely with the National Weather Service forecast of a high near 74°F under sunny skies. This positioning stems from a post-frontal high pressure ridge building over the region overnight, promoting subsidence warming aloft—as 850 mb temperatures rise to 13-14°C from yesterday's cooler 2.8°C—and moderate offshore flow through midday that suppresses marine layer development, allowing efficient solar heating above the April climatological normal of 64°F. Recent Area Forecast Discussion updates at 12 AM PDT confirm model consensus for continued warming, with yesterday's onshore winds yielding cooler conditions now giving way to north-northeast gradients. Lower odds for 70-71°F (19.5%) reflect minor uncertainty from potential wind gusts or delayed clearing, while real-time METAR observations and afternoon updates could refine trajectories before evening resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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