Short-range forecasts from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and global models such as those referenced by the UK Met Office consistently project a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 19 under stable late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Typical August climatology features average highs near 30–31°C, with sea breezes and moderate humidity limiting extremes unless a stronger high-pressure ridge develops. Recent model runs show tight agreement on this narrow range, with minimal deviation expected before resolution, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C and 31°C outcomes. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours could refine probabilities if steering patterns shift.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 19 de agosto?
32°C 64%
31°C 32%
33°C 6%
30°C 1.0%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
32%
32°C
64%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 64%
31°C 32%
33°C 6%
30°C 1.0%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
32%
32°C
64%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecasts from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and global models such as those referenced by the UK Met Office consistently project a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 19 under stable late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Typical August climatology features average highs near 30–31°C, with sea breezes and moderate humidity limiting extremes unless a stronger high-pressure ridge develops. Recent model runs show tight agreement on this narrow range, with minimal deviation expected before resolution, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C and 31°C outcomes. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours could refine probabilities if steering patterns shift.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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