Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate overnight lows near 16–17°C in Milan on September 11 under moderating northerly flow and partial clearing after recent showers, consistent with early-September climatology where average minima hover around 16°C. These conditions support market-implied odds favoring outcomes clustered at 13–17°C while elevating the 22°C-or-higher bucket as traders weigh potential model spread and localized urban heat effects. Updated forecasts and surface observations from Italian meteorological agencies over the next 24 hours will clarify intensification or suppression of radiative cooling ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Milán el 11 de septiembre?
22°C o más 63%
12°C o menos 52%
18°C 39%
19°C 39%
12°C o menos
52%
13°C
25%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
23%
17°C
23%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
13%
21°C
13%
22°C o más
63%
22°C o más 63%
12°C o menos 52%
18°C 39%
19°C 39%
12°C o menos
52%
13°C
25%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
23%
17°C
23%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
13%
21°C
13%
22°C o más
63%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate overnight lows near 16–17°C in Milan on September 11 under moderating northerly flow and partial clearing after recent showers, consistent with early-September climatology where average minima hover around 16°C. These conditions support market-implied odds favoring outcomes clustered at 13–17°C while elevating the 22°C-or-higher bucket as traders weigh potential model spread and localized urban heat effects. Updated forecasts and surface observations from Italian meteorological agencies over the next 24 hours will clarify intensification or suppression of radiative cooling ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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