Exceptionally dry conditions through mid-April have driven trader consensus toward low total precipitation at London Heathrow, with the <20mm outcome at 65.3% implied probability. Met Office observations confirm just 3mm of rainfall from April 1-15, including trace amounts on April 4 (0.4mm), 12 (2.4mm), and 14 (0.2mm), against the 1991-2020 April average of approximately 42mm. Record early-month warmth, one of the hottest Aprils on record, suppressed shower activity under persistent high pressure blocking Atlantic moisture. Recent Met Office forecasts indicate continued subdued precipitation potential through month-end, though model ensembles show uncertainty from possible low-pressure intrusions. Key updates expected in daily advisories and the next long-range outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPrecipitation in London in April?
Precipitation in London in April?
<20mm 58.6%
40-50mm 16.2%
20-30mm 11.7%
30-40mm 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 abr 2026
<20mm
66%
20-30mm
7%
30-40mm
12%
40-50mm
16%
50-60mm
3%
60-70mm
2%
70mm+
3%
<20mm 58.6%
40-50mm 16.2%
20-30mm 11.7%
30-40mm 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 abr 2026
<20mm
$2,237 Vol.
66%
20-30mm
$662 Vol.
7%
30-40mm
$1,108 Vol.
12%
40-50mm
$893 Vol.
16%
50-60mm
$1,841 Vol.
3%
60-70mm
$798 Vol.
2%
70mm+
$1,126 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Exceptionally dry conditions through mid-April have driven trader consensus toward low total precipitation at London Heathrow, with the <20mm outcome at 65.3% implied probability. Met Office observations confirm just 3mm of rainfall from April 1-15, including trace amounts on April 4 (0.4mm), 12 (2.4mm), and 14 (0.2mm), against the 1991-2020 April average of approximately 42mm. Record early-month warmth, one of the hottest Aprils on record, suppressed shower activity under persistent high pressure blocking Atlantic moisture. Recent Met Office forecasts indicate continued subdued precipitation potential through month-end, though model ensembles show uncertainty from possible low-pressure intrusions. Key updates expected in daily advisories and the next long-range outlook.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volumen
$8,667Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Exceptionally dry conditions through mid-April have driven trader consensus toward low total precipitation at London Heathrow, with the <20mm outcome at 65.3% implied probability. Met Office observations confirm just 3mm of rainfall from April 1-15, including trace amounts on April 4 (0.4mm), 12 (2.4mm), and 14 (0.2mm), against the 1991-2020 April average of approximately 42mm. Record early-month warmth, one of the hottest Aprils on record, suppressed shower activity under persistent high pressure blocking Atlantic moisture. Recent Met Office forecasts indicate continued subdued precipitation potential through month-end, though model ensembles show uncertainty from possible low-pressure intrusions. Key updates expected in daily advisories and the next long-range outlook.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,667Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Exceptionally dry conditions through mid-April have driven trader consensus toward low total precipitation at London Heathrow, with the <20mm outcome at 65.3% implied probability. Met Office observations confirm just 3mm of rainfall from April 1-15, including trace amounts on April 4 (0.4mm), 12 (2.4mm), and 14 (0.2mm), against the 1991-2020 April average of approximately 42mm. Record early-month warmth, one of the hottest Aprils on record, suppressed shower activity under persistent high pressure blocking Atlantic moisture. Recent Met Office forecasts indicate continued subdued precipitation potential through month-end, though model ensembles show uncertainty from possible low-pressure intrusions. Key updates expected in daily advisories and the next long-range outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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