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¿Trump abandona la investigación de Powell al...?

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¿Trump abandona la investigación de Powell al...?

NEW
Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$2,665 Vol.

Polymarket

April 30

$1,434 Vol.

34%

30 de junio

$1,231 Vol.

52%

Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell). This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting. Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify. If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Donald Trump praised Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on December 18 for a 25-basis-point interest rate cut, posting on Truth Social that he "did the right thing" and reiterating no plans to fire him before his May 2026 term end. This follows earlier Trump threats to pursue legal action against the Fed over prolonged high rates hindering economic growth, amid statutory protections limiting removal to cause. Traders gauge trader consensus on whether Trump will formally drop such investigation rhetoric by the market's deadline, watching inauguration on January 20 and the next FOMC meeting January 28-29 for signals on Fed independence, potential executive actions, or successor planning for Board vacancies.

President-elect Donald Trump praised Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on December 18 for a 25-basis-point interest rate cut, posting on Truth Social that he "did the right thing" and reiterating no plans to fire him before his May 2026 term end. This follows earlier Trump threats to pursue legal action against the Fed over prolonged high rates hindering economic growth, amid statutory protections limiting removal to cause. Traders gauge trader consensus on whether Trump will formally drop such investigation rhetoric by the market's deadline, watching inauguration on January 20 and the next FOMC meeting January 28-29 for signals on Fed independence, potential executive actions, or successor planning for Board vacancies.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell). This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting. Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify. If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Donald Trump praised Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on December 18 for a 25-basis-point interest rate cut, posting on Truth Social that he "did the right thing" and reiterating no plans to fire him before his May 2026 term end. This follows earlier Trump threats to pursue legal action against the Fed over prolonged high rates hindering economic growth, amid statutory protections limiting removal to cause. Traders gauge trader consensus on whether Trump will formally drop such investigation rhetoric by the market's deadline, watching inauguration on January 20 and the next FOMC meeting January 28-29 for signals on Fed independence, potential executive actions, or successor planning for Board vacancies.

President-elect Donald Trump praised Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on December 18 for a 25-basis-point interest rate cut, posting on Truth Social that he "did the right thing" and reiterating no plans to fire him before his May 2026 term end. This follows earlier Trump threats to pursue legal action against the Fed over prolonged high rates hindering economic growth, amid statutory protections limiting removal to cause. Traders gauge trader consensus on whether Trump will formally drop such investigation rhetoric by the market's deadline, watching inauguration on January 20 and the next FOMC meeting January 28-29 for signals on Fed independence, potential executive actions, or successor planning for Board vacancies.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

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"¿Trump abandona la investigación de Powell al...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de junio" con 52%, seguido de "April 30" con 34%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 52¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Trump abandona la investigación de Powell al...?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 27, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Trump abandona la investigación de Powell al...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Trump abandona la investigación de Powell al...?" es "30 de junio" con 52%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "April 30" con 34%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump abandona la investigación de Powell al...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.