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icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?

icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?

Claude by Anthropic 100.0%

ChatGPT <1%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses <1%

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return <1%

Polymarket

$15,665 Vol.

Claude by Anthropic 100.0%

ChatGPT <1%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses <1%

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return <1%

Polymarket

$15,665 Vol.

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$1,667 Vol.

No

icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$5,415 Vol.

Yes

icon for Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

$759 Vol.

No

icon for TurboTax: File Your Tax Return

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return

$737 Vol.

No

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$1,871 Vol.

No

icon for Google

Google

$922 Vol.

No

icon for Threads

Threads

$1,284 Vol.

No

icon for Netflix Game Controller

Netflix Game Controller

$2,124 Vol.

No

icon for Freecash - Get Paid Real Money

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money

$886 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Anthropic's April 23 launch of Claude connectors—enabling seamless integrations with consumer apps like Spotify, Instacart, TurboTax, Uber, and AllTrails—has driven a surge in iOS downloads, propelling the Claude by Anthropic app to a firm #2 spot on US Apple App Store free charts behind ChatGPT, per real-time data from trackers like Appfigures. This expansion beyond productivity into personal lifestyle tasks enhances its appeal as a versatile AI assistant powered by advanced large language models, fueling trader consensus at 99.2% implied probability for holding the position through end-of-day April 28 resolution. While dominant, a late viral push from Netflix Game Controller, Temu, or Freecash could challenge it amid fluctuating daily rankings.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$15,665
End Date
Apr 28, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Anthropic's April 23 launch of Claude connectors—enabling seamless integrations with consumer apps like Spotify, Instacart, TurboTax, Uber, and AllTrails—has driven a surge in iOS downloads, propelling the Claude by Anthropic app to a firm #2 spot on US Apple App Store free charts behind ChatGPT, per real-time data from trackers like Appfigures. This expansion beyond productivity into personal lifestyle tasks enhances its appeal as a versatile AI assistant powered by advanced large language models, fueling trader consensus at 99.2% implied probability for holding the position through end-of-day April 28 resolution. While dominant, a late viral push from Netflix Game Controller, Temu, or Freecash could challenge it amid fluctuating daily rankings.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$15,665
End Date
Apr 28, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Claude by Anthropic" at 100%, followed by "ChatGPT" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?" has generated $15.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?" is "Claude by Anthropic" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ChatGPT" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.