No magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes have struck globally since the M7.4 offshore Indonesia on April 1, 2026, according to U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) data, capping a recent cluster that included an M7.5 near Tonga on March 24 and M7.3 near Vanuatu on March 30 amid heightened Pacific Ring of Fire activity. These events reflect tectonic stresses at subduction zones, where most major quakes occur. USGS reports an average of 15-20 such events annually worldwide, though they cluster unpredictably due to fault mechanics that defy short-term forecasting. Traders should monitor USGS real-time catalogs and significant earthquake lists daily, as magnitudes can revise within 24 hours post-event, with resolution hinging on official M7.0+ confirmation anywhere on Earth. Continuous seismic data updates provide the next catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
$40,316 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
April 15
<1%
April 30
42%
$40,316 Vol.
April 15
$16,554 Vol.
<1%
April 30
$12,396 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.No magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes have struck globally since the M7.4 offshore Indonesia on April 1, 2026, according to U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) data, capping a recent cluster that included an M7.5 near Tonga on March 24 and M7.3 near Vanuatu on March 30 amid heightened Pacific Ring of Fire activity. These events reflect tectonic stresses at subduction zones, where most major quakes occur. USGS reports an average of 15-20 such events annually worldwide, though they cluster unpredictably due to fault mechanics that defy short-term forecasting. Traders should monitor USGS real-time catalogs and significant earthquake lists daily, as magnitudes can revise within 24 hours post-event, with resolution hinging on official M7.0+ confirmation anywhere on Earth. Continuous seismic data updates provide the next catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Volume
$40,316End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.No magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes have struck globally since the M7.4 offshore Indonesia on April 1, 2026, according to U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) data, capping a recent cluster that included an M7.5 near Tonga on March 24 and M7.3 near Vanuatu on March 30 amid heightened Pacific Ring of Fire activity. These events reflect tectonic stresses at subduction zones, where most major quakes occur. USGS reports an average of 15-20 such events annually worldwide, though they cluster unpredictably due to fault mechanics that defy short-term forecasting. Traders should monitor USGS real-time catalogs and significant earthquake lists daily, as magnitudes can revise within 24 hours post-event, with resolution hinging on official M7.0+ confirmation anywhere on Earth. Continuous seismic data updates provide the next catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$40,316End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes have struck globally since the M7.4 offshore Indonesia on April 1, 2026, according to U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) data, capping a recent cluster that included an M7.5 near Tonga on March 24 and M7.3 near Vanuatu on March 30 amid heightened Pacific Ring of Fire activity. These events reflect tectonic stresses at subduction zones, where most major quakes occur. USGS reports an average of 15-20 such events annually worldwide, though they cluster unpredictably due to fault mechanics that defy short-term forecasting. Traders should monitor USGS real-time catalogs and significant earthquake lists daily, as magnitudes can revise within 24 hours post-event, with resolution hinging on official M7.0+ confirmation anywhere on Earth. Continuous seismic data updates provide the next catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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