Recent polls, including Market Links (April 7-14) and CAR (April 3-14), project Progressive Bulgaria (PB) to win the most seats in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, followed by GERB-SDS, with PP-DB securing third place at 12-13% vote share and around 37 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly. Trader consensus prices reflect this polling consensus, positioning PP-DB far ahead of DPS (8-11%) and Vazrazhdane (5-8%) amid fragmented opposition. The race for third hinges on turnout in urban centers and ethnic minority blocs, where PP-DB holds edges, following the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 collapse over budget protests and corruption claims that boosted anti-establishment PB led by former President Rumen Radev. Late shifts remain possible before Sunday's vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PP–DB 78%
DPS 16%
Vazrazhdane 3.8%
GERB-SDS 3.3%
$80,777 Vol.
$80,777 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
PP–DB
78%
DPS
16%
Vazrazhdane
4%
GERB-SDS
3%
MECh
<1%
BSP
<1%
ITN
<1%
PB
<1%
APS
<1%
Velichie
<1%
PP–DB 78%
DPS 16%
Vazrazhdane 3.8%
GERB-SDS 3.3%
$80,777 Vol.
$80,777 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
PP–DB
$23,895 Vol.
78%
DPS
$12,803 Vol.
16%
Vazrazhdane
$3,078 Vol.
4%
GERB-SDS
$10,148 Vol.
3%
MECh
$3,263 Vol.
<1%
BSP
$20,073 Vol.
<1%
ITN
$2,065 Vol.
<1%
PB
$1,575 Vol.
<1%
APS
$2,076 Vol.
<1%
Velichie
$1,802 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including Market Links (April 7-14) and CAR (April 3-14), project Progressive Bulgaria (PB) to win the most seats in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, followed by GERB-SDS, with PP-DB securing third place at 12-13% vote share and around 37 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly. Trader consensus prices reflect this polling consensus, positioning PP-DB far ahead of DPS (8-11%) and Vazrazhdane (5-8%) amid fragmented opposition. The race for third hinges on turnout in urban centers and ethnic minority blocs, where PP-DB holds edges, following the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 collapse over budget protests and corruption claims that boosted anti-establishment PB led by former President Rumen Radev. Late shifts remain possible before Sunday's vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Volume
$80,777End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including Market Links (April 7-14) and CAR (April 3-14), project Progressive Bulgaria (PB) to win the most seats in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, followed by GERB-SDS, with PP-DB securing third place at 12-13% vote share and around 37 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly. Trader consensus prices reflect this polling consensus, positioning PP-DB far ahead of DPS (8-11%) and Vazrazhdane (5-8%) amid fragmented opposition. The race for third hinges on turnout in urban centers and ethnic minority blocs, where PP-DB holds edges, following the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 collapse over budget protests and corruption claims that boosted anti-establishment PB led by former President Rumen Radev. Late shifts remain possible before Sunday's vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$80,777End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including Market Links (April 7-14) and CAR (April 3-14), project Progressive Bulgaria (PB) to win the most seats in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, followed by GERB-SDS, with PP-DB securing third place at 12-13% vote share and around 37 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly. Trader consensus prices reflect this polling consensus, positioning PP-DB far ahead of DPS (8-11%) and Vazrazhdane (5-8%) amid fragmented opposition. The race for third hinges on turnout in urban centers and ethnic minority blocs, where PP-DB holds edges, following the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 collapse over budget protests and corruption claims that boosted anti-establishment PB led by former President Rumen Radev. Late shifts remain possible before Sunday's vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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