Recent reporting from The Information indicates Anthropic is finalizing Claude Opus 4.7, its next flagship large language model, for launch as soon as this week, alongside a new AI design tool, fueling trader consensus with 78% implied probability for release on or before April 16. Codebase leaks in Claude Code and a fresh desktop app redesign—featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands—signal deployment readiness, consistent with Anthropic's accelerated 2026 cadence of biweekly model updates following Opus 4.6 in February. While no official announcement has materialized, the absence of delays keeps April 17 at 9%; traders eye Eastern Time resolution today amid competitive pressures from OpenAI's GPT iterations, though typical last-minute testing could prompt a slight slippage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOn or prior to April 16 77%
April 17 9.9%
Not released by April 30 2.3%
April 18 1.8%
NEW
$110,015 Vol.
NEW
$110,015 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
On or prior to April 16
77%
April 17
10%
April 18
2%
April 19
<1%
April 20
1%
April 21
1%
April 22
<1%
April 23
1%
April 24
<1%
April 25
<1%
April 26
<1%
April 27
<1%
April 28
1%
April 29
<1%
April 30
<1%
Not released by April 30
2%
On or prior to April 16 77%
April 17 9.9%
Not released by April 30 2.3%
April 18 1.8%
NEW
$110,015 Vol.
NEW
$110,015 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
On or prior to April 16
$53,119 Vol.
77%
April 17
$9,608 Vol.
10%
April 18
$5,561 Vol.
2%
April 19
$4,593 Vol.
<1%
April 20
$4,591 Vol.
1%
April 21
$4,041 Vol.
1%
April 22
$2,976 Vol.
<1%
April 23
$2,736 Vol.
1%
April 24
$3,014 Vol.
<1%
April 25
$3,122 Vol.
<1%
April 26
$3,051 Vol.
<1%
April 27
$3,213 Vol.
<1%
April 28
$2,648 Vol.
1%
April 29
$2,451 Vol.
<1%
April 30
$2,417 Vol.
<1%
Not released by April 30
$6,361 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent reporting from The Information indicates Anthropic is finalizing Claude Opus 4.7, its next flagship large language model, for launch as soon as this week, alongside a new AI design tool, fueling trader consensus with 78% implied probability for release on or before April 16. Codebase leaks in Claude Code and a fresh desktop app redesign—featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands—signal deployment readiness, consistent with Anthropic's accelerated 2026 cadence of biweekly model updates following Opus 4.6 in February. While no official announcement has materialized, the absence of delays keeps April 17 at 9%; traders eye Eastern Time resolution today amid competitive pressures from OpenAI's GPT iterations, though typical last-minute testing could prompt a slight slippage.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Volume
$110,015End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent reporting from The Information indicates Anthropic is finalizing Claude Opus 4.7, its next flagship large language model, for launch as soon as this week, alongside a new AI design tool, fueling trader consensus with 78% implied probability for release on or before April 16. Codebase leaks in Claude Code and a fresh desktop app redesign—featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands—signal deployment readiness, consistent with Anthropic's accelerated 2026 cadence of biweekly model updates following Opus 4.6 in February. While no official announcement has materialized, the absence of delays keeps April 17 at 9%; traders eye Eastern Time resolution today amid competitive pressures from OpenAI's GPT iterations, though typical last-minute testing could prompt a slight slippage.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$110,015End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reporting from The Information indicates Anthropic is finalizing Claude Opus 4.7, its next flagship large language model, for launch as soon as this week, alongside a new AI design tool, fueling trader consensus with 78% implied probability for release on or before April 16. Codebase leaks in Claude Code and a fresh desktop app redesign—featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands—signal deployment readiness, consistent with Anthropic's accelerated 2026 cadence of biweekly model updates following Opus 4.6 in February. While no official announcement has materialized, the absence of delays keeps April 17 at 9%; traders eye Eastern Time resolution today amid competitive pressures from OpenAI's GPT iterations, though typical last-minute testing could prompt a slight slippage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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