Recent leaks from Anthropic's codebase, exposing over 500,000 lines of code for Claude Opus 4.7 alongside features like a 1M token context window and advanced agentic capabilities, have fueled trader consensus with an 80.5% implied probability for release on or prior to April 16. Reports from The Information and internal signals, including a Claude Code desktop app redesign with side-by-side sessions and voice commands just days ago, position this as a precursor to rollout, echoing Anthropic's pattern of tooling upgrades before model drops like Claude 4.5. Backend glitches yesterday further hint at deployment prep, though no official announcement confirms timing; delays remain possible amid competitive pressures from rivals like OpenAI's GPT iterations, with April 17 at 8.6% as the next viable outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOn or prior to April 16 79%
April 17 8.9%
Not released by April 30 2.0%
April 20 1.3%
NEW
$106,815 Vol.
NEW
$106,815 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
On or prior to April 16
79%
April 17
9%
April 18
<1%
April 19
<1%
April 20
1%
April 21
1%
April 22
<1%
April 23
1%
April 24
<1%
April 25
<1%
April 26
<1%
April 27
<1%
April 28
<1%
April 29
<1%
April 30
<1%
Not released by April 30
2%
On or prior to April 16 79%
April 17 8.9%
Not released by April 30 2.0%
April 20 1.3%
NEW
$106,815 Vol.
NEW
$106,815 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
On or prior to April 16
$50,653 Vol.
79%
April 17
$9,301 Vol.
9%
April 18
$5,394 Vol.
<1%
April 19
$4,338 Vol.
<1%
April 20
$4,392 Vol.
1%
April 21
$3,567 Vol.
1%
April 22
$2,976 Vol.
<1%
April 23
$2,736 Vol.
1%
April 24
$2,857 Vol.
<1%
April 25
$3,122 Vol.
<1%
April 26
$3,051 Vol.
<1%
April 27
$3,037 Vol.
<1%
April 28
$2,072 Vol.
<1%
April 29
$1,922 Vol.
<1%
April 30
$1,571 Vol.
<1%
Not released by April 30
$6,153 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent leaks from Anthropic's codebase, exposing over 500,000 lines of code for Claude Opus 4.7 alongside features like a 1M token context window and advanced agentic capabilities, have fueled trader consensus with an 80.5% implied probability for release on or prior to April 16. Reports from The Information and internal signals, including a Claude Code desktop app redesign with side-by-side sessions and voice commands just days ago, position this as a precursor to rollout, echoing Anthropic's pattern of tooling upgrades before model drops like Claude 4.5. Backend glitches yesterday further hint at deployment prep, though no official announcement confirms timing; delays remain possible amid competitive pressures from rivals like OpenAI's GPT iterations, with April 17 at 8.6% as the next viable outcome.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Volume
$106,815End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent leaks from Anthropic's codebase, exposing over 500,000 lines of code for Claude Opus 4.7 alongside features like a 1M token context window and advanced agentic capabilities, have fueled trader consensus with an 80.5% implied probability for release on or prior to April 16. Reports from The Information and internal signals, including a Claude Code desktop app redesign with side-by-side sessions and voice commands just days ago, position this as a precursor to rollout, echoing Anthropic's pattern of tooling upgrades before model drops like Claude 4.5. Backend glitches yesterday further hint at deployment prep, though no official announcement confirms timing; delays remain possible amid competitive pressures from rivals like OpenAI's GPT iterations, with April 17 at 8.6% as the next viable outcome.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$106,815End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent leaks from Anthropic's codebase, exposing over 500,000 lines of code for Claude Opus 4.7 alongside features like a 1M token context window and advanced agentic capabilities, have fueled trader consensus with an 80.5% implied probability for release on or prior to April 16. Reports from The Information and internal signals, including a Claude Code desktop app redesign with side-by-side sessions and voice commands just days ago, position this as a precursor to rollout, echoing Anthropic's pattern of tooling upgrades before model drops like Claude 4.5. Backend glitches yesterday further hint at deployment prep, though no official announcement confirms timing; delays remain possible amid competitive pressures from rivals like OpenAI's GPT iterations, with April 17 at 8.6% as the next viable outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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