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Tech·AI

GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?

icon for GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
Tech·AI

GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?

Aug 31

Sep 30

Oct 31

Dec 31

Aug 31

Sep 30

Oct 31

Dec 31

$2.50-$2.75 29%

$2.75-$3.00 25%

$3.00+ 17%

$2.25-$2.50 13%

Polymarket

$13,174 Vol.

$2.50-$2.75 29%

$2.75-$3.00 25%

$3.00+ 17%

$2.25-$2.50 13%

Polymarket

$13,174 Vol.

<$2.00

$906 Vol.

6%

$2.00-$2.25

$663 Vol.

8%

$2.25-$2.50

$1,640 Vol.

13%

$2.50-$2.75

$5,410 Vol.

29%

$2.75-$3.00

$2,015 Vol.

25%

$3.00+

$2,540 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Persistent supply constraints from HBM memory shortages and TSMC CoWoS packaging limits, combined with surging AI inference and agentic workloads, underpin current H100 rental pricing around $2–$3.50 per GPU-hour at neocloud and marketplace providers. Recent Nvidia results underscore demand exceeding supply through at least FY2028, with contract rates having risen roughly 40% from 2025 lows as capacity sells out and older Hopper silicon cascades into value-tier use. Blackwell and Rubin ramps absorb premium demand but leave H100 tight amid hyperscaler premiums and spot/on-demand spreads. With resolution in two months, trader consensus clusters near $2.50–$3.00 reflecting these dynamics while acknowledging potential short-term volatility from new deployments or demand shifts.

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for October 31, 2026.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$13,174
End Date
Oct 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 7:35 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Persistent supply constraints from HBM memory shortages and TSMC CoWoS packaging limits, combined with surging AI inference and agentic workloads, underpin current H100 rental pricing around $2–$3.50 per GPU-hour at neocloud and marketplace providers. Recent Nvidia results underscore demand exceeding supply through at least FY2028, with contract rates having risen roughly 40% from 2025 lows as capacity sells out and older Hopper silicon cascades into value-tier use. Blackwell and Rubin ramps absorb premium demand but leave H100 tight amid hyperscaler premiums and spot/on-demand spreads. With resolution in two months, trader consensus clusters near $2.50–$3.00 reflecting these dynamics while acknowledging potential short-term volatility from new deployments or demand shifts.

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for October 31, 2026.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$13,174
End Date
Oct 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 7:35 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$2.50-$2.75" at 28%, followed by "$2.75-$3.00" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?" has generated $13.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?" is "$2.50-$2.75" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$2.75-$3.00" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.