Latest forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models, alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, show Ankara's high temperature today clustering around 20°C under pleasant conditions with sun and high clouds, driving trader consensus toward 20°C at 44% implied probability versus 19°C at 37%. This tight race reflects inherent short-range uncertainty in peak afternoon heating, where slight variations in cloud cover, light westerly winds, and insolation could cap the maximum at 19°C or push to 20°C—above April climatological norms of 16-18°C amid a mild spring ridge pattern. Real-time observations from Ankara's official station will resolve the market by midnight, with minimal precipitation risk (under 5%) favoring warmer outcomes over cooler tails below 18°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on April 15?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 15?
20°C 44%
19°C 38%
18°C 15%
21°C 7.6%
$48,166 Vol.
$48,166 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
15%
19°C
38%
20°C
44%
21°C
8%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
20°C 44%
19°C 38%
18°C 15%
21°C 7.6%
$48,166 Vol.
$48,166 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
15%
19°C
38%
20°C
44%
21°C
8%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models, alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, show Ankara's high temperature today clustering around 20°C under pleasant conditions with sun and high clouds, driving trader consensus toward 20°C at 44% implied probability versus 19°C at 37%. This tight race reflects inherent short-range uncertainty in peak afternoon heating, where slight variations in cloud cover, light westerly winds, and insolation could cap the maximum at 19°C or push to 20°C—above April climatological norms of 16-18°C amid a mild spring ridge pattern. Real-time observations from Ankara's official station will resolve the market by midnight, with minimal precipitation risk (under 5%) favoring warmer outcomes over cooler tails below 18°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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