Current numerical weather prediction models from sources such as the ECMWF and GFS indicate peak daytime temperatures near 32–33°C at Ankara’s Esenboğa International Airport station on August 5, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation typical of the region’s continental summer climate. With the market date only two days away, ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the heavy concentration of implied probability on 31–33°C outcomes. No major synoptic changes or moisture intrusions are forecast in the next 48 hours that would alter maximum values significantly, though minor afternoon convection could trim the exact peak by 1°C in some runs. Historical August maxima at the station average near 31°C, providing climatological context for the current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 5?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 5?
32°C 51%
33°C 24%
31°C 20%
34°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
20%
32°C
51%
33°C
24%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 51%
33°C 24%
31°C 20%
34°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
$455 Vol.
1%
29°C
$244 Vol.
3%
30°C
$193 Vol.
3%
31°C
$277 Vol.
20%
32°C
$1,336 Vol.
51%
33°C
$220 Vol.
24%
34°C
$191 Vol.
5%
35°C
$172 Vol.
1%
36°C
$187 Vol.
1%
37°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$220 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from sources such as the ECMWF and GFS indicate peak daytime temperatures near 32–33°C at Ankara’s Esenboğa International Airport station on August 5, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation typical of the region’s continental summer climate. With the market date only two days away, ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the heavy concentration of implied probability on 31–33°C outcomes. No major synoptic changes or moisture intrusions are forecast in the next 48 hours that would alter maximum values significantly, though minor afternoon convection could trim the exact peak by 1°C in some runs. Historical August maxima at the station average near 31°C, providing climatological context for the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,682End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from sources such as the ECMWF and GFS indicate peak daytime temperatures near 32–33°C at Ankara’s Esenboğa International Airport station on August 5, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation typical of the region’s continental summer climate. With the market date only two days away, ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the heavy concentration of implied probability on 31–33°C outcomes. No major synoptic changes or moisture intrusions are forecast in the next 48 hours that would alter maximum values significantly, though minor afternoon convection could trim the exact peak by 1°C in some runs. Historical August maxima at the station average near 31°C, providing climatological context for the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,682End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models from sources such as the ECMWF and GFS indicate peak daytime temperatures near 32–33°C at Ankara’s Esenboğa International Airport station on August 5, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation typical of the region’s continental summer climate. With the market date only two days away, ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the heavy concentration of implied probability on 31–33°C outcomes. No major synoptic changes or moisture intrusions are forecast in the next 48 hours that would alter maximum values significantly, though minor afternoon convection could trim the exact peak by 1°C in some runs. Historical August maxima at the station average near 31°C, providing climatological context for the current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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