Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a notable cooldown in Ankara on September 14, with daytime highs expected near 26–27°C after several days above 30°C, aligning closely with the market’s tight 26°C (42%) and 27°C (37.5%) odds. This shift stems from evolving synoptic patterns, including increased northerly or westerly flow introducing cooler, drier air masses typical of mid-September climatology in central Anatolia. Consensus across sources like PredictWind, Yr, and Met Office highlights minimal cloud cover and light winds, supporting a clear diurnal maximum but leaving room for minor variance from local topography or exact timing of peak insolation. With no precipitation or significant moisture advection forecast, traders weigh subtle differences in model resolution of afternoon heating against historical September baselines around 25–28°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on September 14?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 14?
27°C 49%
26°C 41%
29°C 14%
28°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
3%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
10%
26°C
41%
27°C
49%
28°C
11%
29°C
14%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
27°C 49%
26°C 41%
29°C 14%
28°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$6 Vol.
5%
25°C
$12 Vol.
10%
26°C
$29 Vol.
41%
27°C
$253 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
11%
29°C
$0 Vol.
14%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a notable cooldown in Ankara on September 14, with daytime highs expected near 26–27°C after several days above 30°C, aligning closely with the market’s tight 26°C (42%) and 27°C (37.5%) odds. This shift stems from evolving synoptic patterns, including increased northerly or westerly flow introducing cooler, drier air masses typical of mid-September climatology in central Anatolia. Consensus across sources like PredictWind, Yr, and Met Office highlights minimal cloud cover and light winds, supporting a clear diurnal maximum but leaving room for minor variance from local topography or exact timing of peak insolation. With no precipitation or significant moisture advection forecast, traders weigh subtle differences in model resolution of afternoon heating against historical September baselines around 25–28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$286End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a notable cooldown in Ankara on September 14, with daytime highs expected near 26–27°C after several days above 30°C, aligning closely with the market’s tight 26°C (42%) and 27°C (37.5%) odds. This shift stems from evolving synoptic patterns, including increased northerly or westerly flow introducing cooler, drier air masses typical of mid-September climatology in central Anatolia. Consensus across sources like PredictWind, Yr, and Met Office highlights minimal cloud cover and light winds, supporting a clear diurnal maximum but leaving room for minor variance from local topography or exact timing of peak insolation. With no precipitation or significant moisture advection forecast, traders weigh subtle differences in model resolution of afternoon heating against historical September baselines around 25–28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$286End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a notable cooldown in Ankara on September 14, with daytime highs expected near 26–27°C after several days above 30°C, aligning closely with the market’s tight 26°C (42%) and 27°C (37.5%) odds. This shift stems from evolving synoptic patterns, including increased northerly or westerly flow introducing cooler, drier air masses typical of mid-September climatology in central Anatolia. Consensus across sources like PredictWind, Yr, and Met Office highlights minimal cloud cover and light winds, supporting a clear diurnal maximum but leaving room for minor variance from local topography or exact timing of peak insolation. With no precipitation or significant moisture advection forecast, traders weigh subtle differences in model resolution of afternoon heating against historical September baselines around 25–28°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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