Official National Weather Service observations from Austin's Camp Mabry automated surface observing system (ASOS)—the standard for local climate records—confirm the highest temperature on April 19 reached 70-71°F, propelling market-implied odds to 100% consensus on that outcome. Released in the preliminary daily climate summary within the last 24 hours, this measurement aligns across multiple reporting cycles, reflecting sustained cool conditions from a recent frontal boundary and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Trader confidence stems from the reliability of ASOS instrumentation, which captures 5-second interval data for maximum temperature. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc quality control revisions for sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 0.1% of daily records. No further updates are anticipated ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on April 19?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 19?
70-71°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$63,248 Vol.
$63,248 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$63,248 Vol.
$63,248 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
69°F or below
$10,125 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$15,225 Vol.
Yes
72-73°F
$7,277 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$6,911 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$7,474 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$7,551 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$2,942 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$1,893 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$1,533 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$904 Vol.
No
88°F or higher
$1,413 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Austin's Camp Mabry automated surface observing system (ASOS)—the standard for local climate records—confirm the highest temperature on April 19 reached 70-71°F, propelling market-implied odds to 100% consensus on that outcome. Released in the preliminary daily climate summary within the last 24 hours, this measurement aligns across multiple reporting cycles, reflecting sustained cool conditions from a recent frontal boundary and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Trader confidence stems from the reliability of ASOS instrumentation, which captures 5-second interval data for maximum temperature. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc quality control revisions for sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 0.1% of daily records. No further updates are anticipated ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$63,248End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Austin's Camp Mabry automated surface observing system (ASOS)—the standard for local climate records—confirm the highest temperature on April 19 reached 70-71°F, propelling market-implied odds to 100% consensus on that outcome. Released in the preliminary daily climate summary within the last 24 hours, this measurement aligns across multiple reporting cycles, reflecting sustained cool conditions from a recent frontal boundary and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Trader confidence stems from the reliability of ASOS instrumentation, which captures 5-second interval data for maximum temperature. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc quality control revisions for sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 0.1% of daily records. No further updates are anticipated ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$63,248End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Austin's Camp Mabry automated surface observing system (ASOS)—the standard for local climate records—confirm the highest temperature on April 19 reached 70-71°F, propelling market-implied odds to 100% consensus on that outcome. Released in the preliminary daily climate summary within the last 24 hours, this measurement aligns across multiple reporting cycles, reflecting sustained cool conditions from a recent frontal boundary and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Trader confidence stems from the reliability of ASOS instrumentation, which captures 5-second interval data for maximum temperature. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc quality control revisions for sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 0.1% of daily records. No further updates are anticipated ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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