Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), the market's resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on April 28, 2026, reached 89°F around 5 PM CDT, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 88-89°F outcome. National Weather Service forecasts had converged on upper-80s highs amid a southerly flow bringing hazy skies and partial cloud cover that capped solar heating, despite a broader warming trend in Central Texas. Model ensembles from NOAA accurately captured this moderation from earlier projections nearing 90°F+. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event but could include rare data revisions from quality control audits; final National Weather Service climatological reports, expected soon, will solidify this.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on April 28?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 28?
88-89°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$96,469 Vol.
$96,469 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$96,469 Vol.
$96,469 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
73°F or below
$5,763 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$8,353 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$17,417 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$9,197 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$1,759 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$1,419 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$6,630 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$14,289 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$15,349 Vol.
Yes
90-91°F
$7,669 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$8,625 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), the market's resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on April 28, 2026, reached 89°F around 5 PM CDT, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 88-89°F outcome. National Weather Service forecasts had converged on upper-80s highs amid a southerly flow bringing hazy skies and partial cloud cover that capped solar heating, despite a broader warming trend in Central Texas. Model ensembles from NOAA accurately captured this moderation from earlier projections nearing 90°F+. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event but could include rare data revisions from quality control audits; final National Weather Service climatological reports, expected soon, will solidify this.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 26, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$96,469End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 26, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), the market's resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on April 28, 2026, reached 89°F around 5 PM CDT, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 88-89°F outcome. National Weather Service forecasts had converged on upper-80s highs amid a southerly flow bringing hazy skies and partial cloud cover that capped solar heating, despite a broader warming trend in Central Texas. Model ensembles from NOAA accurately captured this moderation from earlier projections nearing 90°F+. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event but could include rare data revisions from quality control audits; final National Weather Service climatological reports, expected soon, will solidify this.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$96,469End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 26, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), the market's resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on April 28, 2026, reached 89°F around 5 PM CDT, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 88-89°F outcome. National Weather Service forecasts had converged on upper-80s highs amid a southerly flow bringing hazy skies and partial cloud cover that capped solar heating, despite a broader warming trend in Central Texas. Model ensembles from NOAA accurately captured this moderation from earlier projections nearing 90°F+. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event but could include rare data revisions from quality control audits; final National Weather Service climatological reports, expected soon, will solidify this.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions