Latest forecast guidance from sources including the BBC and regional models shows a high near 9°C for Buenos Aires on July 2, driven by southerly flow and clear skies that limit daytime warming during Southern Hemisphere winter. Trader consensus clusters on 8–10°C outcomes because ensemble spreads remain narrow yet allow for modest adjustments from local urban heat or slight wind shifts. Historical July averages hover around 12–15°C, so this cooler pattern reflects recent high-pressure dominance and cold-air advection rather than typical conditions. Model updates overnight could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 2?
9°C 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$61,098 Vol.
$61,098 Vol.
3°C or below
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
No
9°C 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$61,098 Vol.
$61,098 Vol.
3°C or below
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Latest forecast guidance from sources including the BBC and regional models shows a high near 9°C for Buenos Aires on July 2, driven by southerly flow and clear skies that limit daytime warming during Southern Hemisphere winter. Trader consensus clusters on 8–10°C outcomes because ensemble spreads remain narrow yet allow for modest adjustments from local urban heat or slight wind shifts. Historical July averages hover around 12–15°C, so this cooler pattern reflects recent high-pressure dominance and cold-air advection rather than typical conditions. Model updates overnight could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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