Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C (nearly 100% implied probability) as Chengdu's highest temperature on April 28, 2026, at Shuangliu International Airport, backed by real-time observations and forecast model ensembles from sources like Weather Underground. Persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and a passing frontal system have capped surface heating, with morning readings around 15–16°C and limited solar insolation preventing warmer peaks— a sharp contrast to yesterday's 23°C high amid typical Sichuan Basin spring variability. Hourly forecasts confirm daytime highs near 19.4°C (67°F), with clouds suppressing convection. Realistic challenges include unexpected early clearing allowing brief warming to 20°C, though model consensus deems this unlikely; final airport data finalization expected post-midnight UTC+8.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 28?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 28?
19°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$66,452 Vol.
$66,452 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$66,452 Vol.
$66,452 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
17°C or below
$4,686 Vol.
No
18°C
$6,508 Vol.
No
19°C
$14,523 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$6,728 Vol.
No
21°C
$7,435 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,919 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,290 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,483 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,814 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,515 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$3,552 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C (nearly 100% implied probability) as Chengdu's highest temperature on April 28, 2026, at Shuangliu International Airport, backed by real-time observations and forecast model ensembles from sources like Weather Underground. Persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and a passing frontal system have capped surface heating, with morning readings around 15–16°C and limited solar insolation preventing warmer peaks— a sharp contrast to yesterday's 23°C high amid typical Sichuan Basin spring variability. Hourly forecasts confirm daytime highs near 19.4°C (67°F), with clouds suppressing convection. Realistic challenges include unexpected early clearing allowing brief warming to 20°C, though model consensus deems this unlikely; final airport data finalization expected post-midnight UTC+8.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$66,452End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C (nearly 100% implied probability) as Chengdu's highest temperature on April 28, 2026, at Shuangliu International Airport, backed by real-time observations and forecast model ensembles from sources like Weather Underground. Persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and a passing frontal system have capped surface heating, with morning readings around 15–16°C and limited solar insolation preventing warmer peaks— a sharp contrast to yesterday's 23°C high amid typical Sichuan Basin spring variability. Hourly forecasts confirm daytime highs near 19.4°C (67°F), with clouds suppressing convection. Realistic challenges include unexpected early clearing allowing brief warming to 20°C, though model consensus deems this unlikely; final airport data finalization expected post-midnight UTC+8.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$66,452End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C (nearly 100% implied probability) as Chengdu's highest temperature on April 28, 2026, at Shuangliu International Airport, backed by real-time observations and forecast model ensembles from sources like Weather Underground. Persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and a passing frontal system have capped surface heating, with morning readings around 15–16°C and limited solar insolation preventing warmer peaks— a sharp contrast to yesterday's 23°C high amid typical Sichuan Basin spring variability. Hourly forecasts confirm daytime highs near 19.4°C (67°F), with clouds suppressing convection. Realistic challenges include unexpected early clearing allowing brief warming to 20°C, though model consensus deems this unlikely; final airport data finalization expected post-midnight UTC+8.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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