Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas indicates a highest temperature on June 19 most likely in the mid- to upper 80s°F, several degrees below the 92°F climatological normal, owing to increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and a weak frontal boundary limiting daytime heating. This near-term consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 84–89°F bins. Model spread and potential for localized clearing introduce genuine uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes competitive, while the low probabilities assigned to 90°F+ reflect limited support for stronger ridging or drier air advection in the current 24–48-hour window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on June 19?
Highest temperature in Dallas on June 19?
84-85°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$105,563 Vol.
$105,563 Vol.
Jun 19, 2026
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$105,563 Vol.
$105,563 Vol.
Jun 19, 2026
83°F or below
$27,713 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$14,341 Vol.
Yes
86-87°F
$6,981 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$6,696 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$13,245 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$8,603 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$6,345 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$17,531 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$823 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$3,089 Vol.
No
102°F or higher
$196 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas indicates a highest temperature on June 19 most likely in the mid- to upper 80s°F, several degrees below the 92°F climatological normal, owing to increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and a weak frontal boundary limiting daytime heating. This near-term consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 84–89°F bins. Model spread and potential for localized clearing introduce genuine uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes competitive, while the low probabilities assigned to 90°F+ reflect limited support for stronger ridging or drier air advection in the current 24–48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$105,563End Date
Jun 19, 2026Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas indicates a highest temperature on June 19 most likely in the mid- to upper 80s°F, several degrees below the 92°F climatological normal, owing to increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and a weak frontal boundary limiting daytime heating. This near-term consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 84–89°F bins. Model spread and potential for localized clearing introduce genuine uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes competitive, while the low probabilities assigned to 90°F+ reflect limited support for stronger ridging or drier air advection in the current 24–48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$105,563End Date
Jun 19, 2026Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas indicates a highest temperature on June 19 most likely in the mid- to upper 80s°F, several degrees below the 92°F climatological normal, owing to increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and a weak frontal boundary limiting daytime heating. This near-term consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 84–89°F bins. Model spread and potential for localized clearing introduce genuine uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes competitive, while the low probabilities assigned to 90°F+ reflect limited support for stronger ridging or drier air advection in the current 24–48-hour window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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