Trader consensus favors 70-71°F (39.5% implied probability) for Denver's highest temperature on April 19, reflecting National Weather Service guidance showing highs rebounding to the upper 60s to low 70s at Buckley Space Force Base—the market's resolution station—after a recent cold snap. A freeze warning lingered through early April 18 amid lingering mountain snow from April 16-19 forecasts, but its exit allows sunny skies, westerly downslope winds, and adiabatic warming under a building high-pressure ridge. GFS and ECMWF models align on this milder outlook, consistent with NOAA's above-normal April temperature bias following record-hot March. Final NWS updates today could refine peak timing amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on April 19?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 19?
70-71°F 41%
68-69°F 25%
72-73°F 25%
74-75°F 9%
$16,837 Vol.
$16,837 Vol.
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
41%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
9%
76°F or higher
3%
70-71°F 41%
68-69°F 25%
72-73°F 25%
74-75°F 9%
$16,837 Vol.
$16,837 Vol.
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
41%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
9%
76°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 70-71°F (39.5% implied probability) for Denver's highest temperature on April 19, reflecting National Weather Service guidance showing highs rebounding to the upper 60s to low 70s at Buckley Space Force Base—the market's resolution station—after a recent cold snap. A freeze warning lingered through early April 18 amid lingering mountain snow from April 16-19 forecasts, but its exit allows sunny skies, westerly downslope winds, and adiabatic warming under a building high-pressure ridge. GFS and ECMWF models align on this milder outlook, consistent with NOAA's above-normal April temperature bias following record-hot March. Final NWS updates today could refine peak timing amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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