Traders see the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 23 centering near 35–37 °C because short-range models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently favor partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. These conditions limit peak solar heating while a moist southerly monsoon flow keeps surface temperatures elevated in the mid-30s. Recent 24–48 hour guidance has shown little shift, with official local forecasts listing daily maxima of 34–36 °C and isolated showers that can suppress readings by 1–2 °C if convection develops earlier than expected. Differentiating the tightly bunched 35 °C, 36 °C, and 37 °C outcomes therefore hinges on precise timing of cloud breaks versus rainfall, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day sea-breeze effects—variables that remain within the typical uncertainty range of numerical weather prediction at this lead time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 23?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 23?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$108,921 Vol.
$108,921 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$108,921 Vol.
$108,921 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
29°C or below
$508 Vol.
No
30°C
$796 Vol.
No
31°C
$853 Vol.
No
32°C
$8,167 Vol.
No
33°C
$9,661 Vol.
No
34°C
$5,423 Vol.
No
35°C
$22,061 Vol.
No
36°C
$19,478 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$14,571 Vol.
No
38°C
$15,694 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$11,709 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 23 centering near 35–37 °C because short-range models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently favor partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. These conditions limit peak solar heating while a moist southerly monsoon flow keeps surface temperatures elevated in the mid-30s. Recent 24–48 hour guidance has shown little shift, with official local forecasts listing daily maxima of 34–36 °C and isolated showers that can suppress readings by 1–2 °C if convection develops earlier than expected. Differentiating the tightly bunched 35 °C, 36 °C, and 37 °C outcomes therefore hinges on precise timing of cloud breaks versus rainfall, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day sea-breeze effects—variables that remain within the typical uncertainty range of numerical weather prediction at this lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 21, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volume
$108,921End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 23 centering near 35–37 °C because short-range models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently favor partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. These conditions limit peak solar heating while a moist southerly monsoon flow keeps surface temperatures elevated in the mid-30s. Recent 24–48 hour guidance has shown little shift, with official local forecasts listing daily maxima of 34–36 °C and isolated showers that can suppress readings by 1–2 °C if convection develops earlier than expected. Differentiating the tightly bunched 35 °C, 36 °C, and 37 °C outcomes therefore hinges on precise timing of cloud breaks versus rainfall, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day sea-breeze effects—variables that remain within the typical uncertainty range of numerical weather prediction at this lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$108,921End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders see the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 23 centering near 35–37 °C because short-range models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently favor partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. These conditions limit peak solar heating while a moist southerly monsoon flow keeps surface temperatures elevated in the mid-30s. Recent 24–48 hour guidance has shown little shift, with official local forecasts listing daily maxima of 34–36 °C and isolated showers that can suppress readings by 1–2 °C if convection develops earlier than expected. Differentiating the tightly bunched 35 °C, 36 °C, and 37 °C outcomes therefore hinges on precise timing of cloud breaks versus rainfall, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day sea-breeze effects—variables that remain within the typical uncertainty range of numerical weather prediction at this lead time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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