Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm maximum temperatures reached 34.1°C or higher across the territory on May 29, 2026, amid an ongoing heatwave fueled by a strong upper-level anticyclone over the South China Sea region. This aligns with broader May climatology, where persistent subtropical high pressure often produces peak readings well above the 31°C seasonal average at the urban stations. Model guidance and real-time surface data showed minimal cooling from sea breezes or cloud cover, locking in the outcome. The sole realistic challenge would involve a post-event revision to the official daily maximum by the Observatory, though such adjustments are rare once hourly readings are finalized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 29?
34°C or higher 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$261,964 Vol.
$261,964 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
Yes
34°C or higher 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$261,964 Vol.
$261,964 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 27, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm maximum temperatures reached 34.1°C or higher across the territory on May 29, 2026, amid an ongoing heatwave fueled by a strong upper-level anticyclone over the South China Sea region. This aligns with broader May climatology, where persistent subtropical high pressure often produces peak readings well above the 31°C seasonal average at the urban stations. Model guidance and real-time surface data showed minimal cooling from sea breezes or cloud cover, locking in the outcome. The sole realistic challenge would involve a post-event revision to the official daily maximum by the Observatory, though such adjustments are rare once hourly readings are finalized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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