Official observations at Karachi's Masroor Airbase Station—the market's resolution source—peaked at 33°C midday on April 19, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability amid southwest winds of 15–30 km/h and persistent haze/smoke that reduced solar insolation and prevented further heating. Pakistan Meteorological Department data shows morning temperatures starting at 27–28°C under mostly hot, dry conditions, aligning with April climatological norms where highs average 33–34°C but are moderated by sea breezes. Model forecasts had suggested potential up to 35–37°C, but real-time visibility and wind shear capped intensity. A realistic challenge would require a post-sunset data revision or overlooked sensor reading exceeding 33°C, though evening cooling makes this improbable as PMD finalizes daily summaries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on April 19?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 19?
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$33,590 Vol.
$33,590 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$33,590 Vol.
$33,590 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
25°C or below
$882 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,310 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,481 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,392 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,181 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,619 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,240 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,769 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,511 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$3,751 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$5,453 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations at Karachi's Masroor Airbase Station—the market's resolution source—peaked at 33°C midday on April 19, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability amid southwest winds of 15–30 km/h and persistent haze/smoke that reduced solar insolation and prevented further heating. Pakistan Meteorological Department data shows morning temperatures starting at 27–28°C under mostly hot, dry conditions, aligning with April climatological norms where highs average 33–34°C but are moderated by sea breezes. Model forecasts had suggested potential up to 35–37°C, but real-time visibility and wind shear capped intensity. A realistic challenge would require a post-sunset data revision or overlooked sensor reading exceeding 33°C, though evening cooling makes this improbable as PMD finalizes daily summaries.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$33,590End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations at Karachi's Masroor Airbase Station—the market's resolution source—peaked at 33°C midday on April 19, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability amid southwest winds of 15–30 km/h and persistent haze/smoke that reduced solar insolation and prevented further heating. Pakistan Meteorological Department data shows morning temperatures starting at 27–28°C under mostly hot, dry conditions, aligning with April climatological norms where highs average 33–34°C but are moderated by sea breezes. Model forecasts had suggested potential up to 35–37°C, but real-time visibility and wind shear capped intensity. A realistic challenge would require a post-sunset data revision or overlooked sensor reading exceeding 33°C, though evening cooling makes this improbable as PMD finalizes daily summaries.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$33,590End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations at Karachi's Masroor Airbase Station—the market's resolution source—peaked at 33°C midday on April 19, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability amid southwest winds of 15–30 km/h and persistent haze/smoke that reduced solar insolation and prevented further heating. Pakistan Meteorological Department data shows morning temperatures starting at 27–28°C under mostly hot, dry conditions, aligning with April climatological norms where highs average 33–34°C but are moderated by sea breezes. Model forecasts had suggested potential up to 35–37°C, but real-time visibility and wind shear capped intensity. A realistic challenge would require a post-sunset data revision or overlooked sensor reading exceeding 33°C, though evening cooling makes this improbable as PMD finalizes daily summaries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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