**Balanced market-implied odds across temperature thresholds reflect genuine short-term forecast uncertainty for Kuala Lumpur's daily maximum on August 15.** In this equatorial location, peak temperatures typically range 31–34 °C during August under consistent solar heating, modulated by high humidity (75–85 %) and frequent afternoon convective thunderstorms that can reduce insolation and cap highs. Recent model guidance shows little deviation from climatological norms, with possible isolated storms introducing variability in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and localized cooling. Urban heat-island effects and light wind patterns add minor upward pressure, yet the narrow historical spread around 32–33 °C leaves resolution sensitive to the precise evolution of the next 48-hour forecast updates from regional meteorological services. Traders therefore price comparable probabilities across adjacent bins until clearer observational trends emerge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 15?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 15?
37°C 44%
33°C 39%
34°C 29%
35°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
26%
32°C
27%
33°C
39%
34°C
29%
35°C
28%
36°C
26%
37°C
44%
38°C
24%
39°C or higher
5%
37°C 44%
33°C 39%
34°C 29%
35°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
26%
32°C
$0 Vol.
27%
33°C
$0 Vol.
39%
34°C
$0 Vol.
29%
35°C
$0 Vol.
28%
36°C
$0 Vol.
26%
37°C
$5 Vol.
44%
38°C
$44 Vol.
24%
39°C or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Balanced market-implied odds across temperature thresholds reflect genuine short-term forecast uncertainty for Kuala Lumpur's daily maximum on August 15.** In this equatorial location, peak temperatures typically range 31–34 °C during August under consistent solar heating, modulated by high humidity (75–85 %) and frequent afternoon convective thunderstorms that can reduce insolation and cap highs. Recent model guidance shows little deviation from climatological norms, with possible isolated storms introducing variability in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and localized cooling. Urban heat-island effects and light wind patterns add minor upward pressure, yet the narrow historical spread around 32–33 °C leaves resolution sensitive to the precise evolution of the next 48-hour forecast updates from regional meteorological services. Traders therefore price comparable probabilities across adjacent bins until clearer observational trends emerge.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$49End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Balanced market-implied odds across temperature thresholds reflect genuine short-term forecast uncertainty for Kuala Lumpur's daily maximum on August 15.** In this equatorial location, peak temperatures typically range 31–34 °C during August under consistent solar heating, modulated by high humidity (75–85 %) and frequent afternoon convective thunderstorms that can reduce insolation and cap highs. Recent model guidance shows little deviation from climatological norms, with possible isolated storms introducing variability in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and localized cooling. Urban heat-island effects and light wind patterns add minor upward pressure, yet the narrow historical spread around 32–33 °C leaves resolution sensitive to the precise evolution of the next 48-hour forecast updates from regional meteorological services. Traders therefore price comparable probabilities across adjacent bins until clearer observational trends emerge.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$49End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Balanced market-implied odds across temperature thresholds reflect genuine short-term forecast uncertainty for Kuala Lumpur's daily maximum on August 15.** In this equatorial location, peak temperatures typically range 31–34 °C during August under consistent solar heating, modulated by high humidity (75–85 %) and frequent afternoon convective thunderstorms that can reduce insolation and cap highs. Recent model guidance shows little deviation from climatological norms, with possible isolated storms introducing variability in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and localized cooling. Urban heat-island effects and light wind patterns add minor upward pressure, yet the narrow historical spread around 32–33 °C leaves resolution sensitive to the precise evolution of the next 48-hour forecast updates from regional meteorological services. Traders therefore price comparable probabilities across adjacent bins until clearer observational trends emerge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions